Math Problem Statement

Let X_1, X_2, ..., X_n be a random sample on X with pdf f(x) = (1/θ) e^(-x/θ), 0 < x < ∞, θ > 0. Given the fact that E(X) = θ: (a) Prove that X̄ is an unbiased estimator of θ. (b) Use the Factorization Theorem to prove that X̄ is a sufficient statistic for θ.

Solution

Let's address the two parts of the problem step by step.


(a) Prove that X\overline{X} is an unbiased estimator of θ\theta:

  1. Given Information:

    • The random sample X1,X2,,XnX_1, X_2, \dots, X_n comes from the exponential distribution with PDF: f(x)=1θex/θ,0<x<,θ>0.f(x) = \frac{1}{\theta} e^{-x/\theta}, \quad 0 < x < \infty, \, \theta > 0.
    • E(X)=θE(X) = \theta is provided.
  2. Key Definition for Unbiasedness:

    • An estimator X\overline{X} is unbiased for θ\theta if E(X)=θE(\overline{X}) = \theta.
  3. Calculate E(X)E(\overline{X}):

    • X=1ni=1nXi\overline{X} = \frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=1}^n X_i, where each XiX_i is independent and identically distributed.
    • Using the linearity of expectation: E(X)=E(1ni=1nXi)=1ni=1nE(Xi).E(\overline{X}) = E\left(\frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=1}^n X_i\right) = \frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=1}^n E(X_i).
    • Since E(Xi)=θE(X_i) = \theta for all ii, this becomes: E(X)=1nnθ=θ.E(\overline{X}) = \frac{1}{n} \cdot n \cdot \theta = \theta.
  4. Conclusion:

    • Since E(X)=θE(\overline{X}) = \theta, X\overline{X} is an unbiased estimator of θ\theta.

(b) Prove that X\overline{X} is a sufficient statistic for θ\theta using the Factorization Theorem:

  1. Factorization Theorem:

    • A statistic T(X)=XT(X) = \overline{X} is sufficient for θ\theta if the joint PDF f(x1,x2,,xnθ)f(x_1, x_2, \dots, x_n | \theta) can be factored as: f(x1,x2,,xnθ)=g(T(X),θ)h(x1,x2,,xn),f(x_1, x_2, \dots, x_n | \theta) = g(T(X), \theta) h(x_1, x_2, \dots, x_n), where gg depends on T(X)T(X) and θ\theta, and hh does not depend on θ\theta.
  2. Joint PDF of the Sample:

    • The joint PDF of X1,X2,,XnX_1, X_2, \dots, X_n (since they are independent) is: f(x1,x2,,xnθ)=i=1n1θexi/θ=1θne1θi=1nxi.f(x_1, x_2, \dots, x_n | \theta) = \prod_{i=1}^n \frac{1}{\theta} e^{-x_i / \theta} = \frac{1}{\theta^n} e^{-\frac{1}{\theta} \sum_{i=1}^n x_i}.
  3. Rewrite the Joint PDF:

    • Let T(X)=X=1ni=1nXiT(X) = \overline{X} = \frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=1}^n X_i, so that i=1nXi=nX\sum_{i=1}^n X_i = n\overline{X}.
    • Substitute i=1nXi\sum_{i=1}^n X_i into the joint PDF: f(x1,x2,,xnθ)=1θnenX/θ.f(x_1, x_2, \dots, x_n | \theta) = \frac{1}{\theta^n} e^{-n\overline{X} / \theta}.
    • This can be factored as: f(x1,x2,,xnθ)=1θnenX/θg(X,θ)1h(x1,x2,,xn).f(x_1, x_2, \dots, x_n | \theta) = \underbrace{\frac{1}{\theta^n} e^{-n\overline{X} / \theta}}_{g(\overline{X}, \theta)} \cdot \underbrace{1}_{h(x_1, x_2, \dots, x_n)}.
  4. Conclusion:

    • The joint PDF is factored into a function of X\overline{X} and θ\theta (namely gg), and a function hh that does not depend on θ\theta.
    • Therefore, X\overline{X} is a sufficient statistic for θ\theta by the Factorization Theorem.

Do you have further questions or need additional clarifications?

Here are 5 related questions to explore this topic further:

  1. What is the variance of X\overline{X} as an estimator of θ\theta?
  2. How would you use the Rao-Blackwell theorem to improve an estimator for θ\theta?
  3. Can you derive the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for θ\theta based on the given distribution?
  4. How does the concept of sufficiency relate to Bayesian statistics?
  5. How would you test the unbiasedness of an estimator numerically?

Tip: Always verify whether sufficient statistics retain all information about the parameter by comparing likelihoods before and after using the statistic.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Point estimation
Unbiased estimators
Sufficient statistics
Factorization Theorem

Formulas

f(x) = (1/θ) e^(-x/θ)
X̄ = (1/n) Σ X_i
E(X̄) = E((1/n) Σ X_i) = θ

Theorems

Definition of an unbiased estimator
Factorization Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate (Statistics or Probability Course)