Math Problem Statement

Let X be a random variable with moment gather function M(t) = (1/6)e^(-2t)+(1/4)e^(-t)+(1/3)e^t+1/4. What are P(X^2=4|X>0), and E(X), respectively?

Solution

Let's break this down step by step to find both P(X2=4X>0)P(X^2 = 4 \mid X > 0) and E(X)E(X).

Step 1: Moment-Generating Function (MGF)

The moment-generating function (MGF) of the random variable XX is given as: M(t)=16e2t+14et+13et+14M(t) = \frac{1}{6} e^{-2t} + \frac{1}{4} e^{-t} + \frac{1}{3} e^{t} + \frac{1}{4} We use this to find the distribution of XX.

The MGF typically represents a mixture of exponential distributions here because of the form of the function. We will match this form to a mixture of exponentials.

The function M(t)M(t) suggests that XX is a mixture of four exponential distributions with the following components:

  1. An exponential distribution with rate 22 and probability 16\frac{1}{6}.
  2. An exponential distribution with rate 11 and probability 14\frac{1}{4}.
  3. An exponential distribution with rate 1-1 and probability 13\frac{1}{3}.
  4. A constant value 0 with probability 14\frac{1}{4}.

Thus, the random variable XX can take the following values with these probabilities:

  • X=0X = 0 with probability 14\frac{1}{4},
  • XExp(2)X \sim \text{Exp}(2) with probability 16\frac{1}{6},
  • XExp(1)X \sim \text{Exp}(1) with probability 14\frac{1}{4},
  • XExp(1)X \sim \text{Exp}(-1) with probability 13\frac{1}{3}.

Step 2: P(X2=4X>0)P(X^2 = 4 \mid X > 0)

We are asked to compute P(X2=4X>0)P(X^2 = 4 \mid X > 0). Notice that X2=4X^2 = 4 implies X=2X = 2 (since X>0X > 0).

Thus, P(X2=4X>0)=P(X=2X>0)P(X^2 = 4 \mid X > 0) = P(X = 2 \mid X > 0).

This is a conditional probability, so we use the formula: P(X=2X>0)=P(X=2)P(X>0)P(X = 2 \mid X > 0) = \frac{P(X = 2)}{P(X > 0)} Now, let’s compute each part:

  1. P(X=2)P(X = 2): From the MGF, we can infer that X=2X = 2 is part of the exponential distribution with rate 11. The probability mass function for XX is weighted, and based on the exponential distribution and the given probabilities, the value of P(X=2)P(X = 2) can be obtained from the coefficients of the moment generating function. We take a weighted sum.

  2. P(X>0): Would involve ensuring the weighted.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Moment-Generating Function (MGF)
Conditional Probability
Exponential Distribution
Expected Value

Formulas

Moment-Generating Function (MGF)
P(X = 2 | X > 0) = P(X = 2) / P(X > 0)
E(X) = sum of weighted expectations

Theorems

Moment-Generating Function for mixture distributions
Properties of conditional probability

Suitable Grade Level

Graduate level / Advanced Probability