Math Problem Statement
You want to obtain a sample to estimate a population proportion. At this point in time, you have no reasonable preliminary estimation for the population proportion. You would like to be 90% confident that you estimate is within 2% of the true population proportion. How large of a sample size is required? Do not round mid-calculation.
n=
Solution
To determine the required sample size () for estimating a population proportion with a given margin of error, confidence level, and no preliminary estimate for the proportion, we use the following formula:
Where:
- is the Z-score corresponding to the confidence level.
- is the estimated population proportion (since there is no prior estimate, we use , which maximizes the sample size).
- is the margin of error.
Step 1: Identify the values
- Confidence level = 90% → -score for 90% confidence is 1.645.
- Margin of error = 2% or 0.02.
- Since we have no preliminary estimate for the population proportion, we use .
Step 2: Apply the formula
Step 3: Final Answer
Since the sample size must be a whole number, round up to the nearest whole number:
Therefore, you would need a sample size of 1,692.
Would you like any further explanation or more details? Here are some related questions:
- How does increasing the confidence level affect the sample size?
- What happens to the required sample size if we have a prior estimate for ?
- How do we calculate the Z-score for different confidence levels?
- What impact does changing the margin of error have on sample size?
- How is this formula derived from the margin of error formula?
Tip: Always round the sample size up to ensure the margin of error stays within the desired range.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Statistics
Confidence Intervals
Population Proportion Estimation
Sampling
Formulas
n = (Z^2 * p(1 - p)) / E^2
Theorems
Central Limit Theorem
Normal Distribution in Sampling
Suitable Grade Level
College Level Statistics
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