Math Problem Statement

You plan to conduct a survey on your college campus to estimate the true proportion of college students on your campus who voted in the 2024 presidential election. You want to estimate the sample size needed in order to have 95% confidence in your results. Since you don't know the proportion who voted until you take the survey, assume  = 0.5 and  = 0.5.

(Round your answers up the nearest whole number.)

How many students must you survey in order to have a margin of error no greater than:

(a) five percent?  students

(b) two percent?  students

Solution

To calculate the required sample size for a survey, the formula used is:

n=Z2p(1p)E2n = \frac{Z^2 \cdot p \cdot (1-p)}{E^2}

Where:

  • ZZ is the critical value corresponding to the confidence level (for 95% confidence, Z1.96Z \approx 1.96),
  • pp is the assumed proportion (0.5 in this case),
  • EE is the margin of error (in decimal form).

Part (a): Margin of Error = 5% (0.05)

Plugging in the values: n=1.9620.5(10.5)0.052n = \frac{1.96^2 \cdot 0.5 \cdot (1 - 0.5)}{0.05^2}

n=3.84160.250.0025n = \frac{3.8416 \cdot 0.25}{0.0025}

n=0.96040.0025=384.16n = \frac{0.9604}{0.0025} = 384.16

Since sample size must be a whole number, round up to the nearest whole number: n=385n = 385

Part (b): Margin of Error = 2% (0.02)

Plugging in the values: n=1.9620.5(10.5)0.022n = \frac{1.96^2 \cdot 0.5 \cdot (1 - 0.5)}{0.02^2}

n=3.84160.250.0004n = \frac{3.8416 \cdot 0.25}{0.0004}

n=0.96040.0004=2401n = \frac{0.9604}{0.0004} = 2401

Since sample size must be a whole number, round up to the nearest whole number: n=2401n = 2401

Final Answers:

(a) To have a margin of error no greater than 5%: 385 students.
(b) To have a margin of error no greater than 2%: 2401 students.


Do you need detailed steps or clarification?

Here are 5 related questions to expand your understanding:

  1. What happens to the required sample size if the confidence level increases to 99%?
  2. How does changing the assumed proportion (pp) affect the sample size?
  3. Can the sample size formula be applied to smaller populations?
  4. What if the margin of error were reduced to 1%—how large would the sample size need to be?
  5. How is the ZZ-value determined for various confidence levels?

Tip: When the true proportion is unknown, using p=0.5p = 0.5 provides the most conservative (largest) sample size estimate.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Sampling Distribution
Confidence Intervals
Statistics

Formulas

n = (Z^2 * p * (1 - p)) / E^2

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem
Law of Large Numbers

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12