Math Problem Statement

Prove, using induction, the PMF of a binomial using convolutions on the iid sequence of r.v.'s X1,...,Xn ∼ Bernoulli(p). You will need to use Pascal's Triangle combinatorial identity

Solution

To prove the probability mass function (PMF) of a Binomial distribution using induction and convolutions on an i.i.d. sequence of random variables X1,,XnBernoulli(p)X_1, \dots, X_n \sim \text{Bernoulli}(p), we will utilize the following steps and Pascal's combinatorial identity.

Step 1: Definition of Bernoulli and Binomial Distributions

Let X1,X2,,XnX_1, X_2, \dots, X_n be i.i.d. Bernoulli random variables, where each XiX_i takes the value 1 with probability pp and 0 with probability 1p1 - p. That is, for each ii: P(Xi=1)=pandP(Xi=0)=1p.P(X_i = 1) = p \quad \text{and} \quad P(X_i = 0) = 1 - p. The sum of these i.i.d. Bernoulli random variables is a Binomial random variable: Sn=X1+X2++Xn.S_n = X_1 + X_2 + \dots + X_n. The random variable SnS_n follows a Binomial distribution, denoted SnBinomial(n,p)S_n \sim \text{Binomial}(n, p), with PMF: P(Sn=k)=(nk)pk(1p)nk,k=0,1,,n.P(S_n = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1 - p)^{n - k}, \quad k = 0, 1, \dots, n.

Step 2: Base Case (Induction for n=1n = 1)

For n=1n = 1, we know that S1=X1S_1 = X_1, and since X1Bernoulli(p)X_1 \sim \text{Bernoulli}(p), its PMF is given by: P(S1=0)=P(X1=0)=1p,P(S_1 = 0) = P(X_1 = 0) = 1 - p, P(S1=1)=P(X1=1)=p.P(S_1 = 1) = P(X_1 = 1) = p. This corresponds to the Binomial PMF for n=1n = 1: P(S1=k)=(1k)pk(1p)1k,k=0,1.P(S_1 = k) = \binom{1}{k} p^k (1 - p)^{1 - k}, \quad k = 0, 1. Thus, the base case holds.

Step 3: Induction Hypothesis

Assume that for some n1n \geq 1, the PMF of SnS_n is: P(Sn=k)=(nk)pk(1p)nk,k=0,1,,n.P(S_n = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1 - p)^{n - k}, \quad k = 0, 1, \dots, n. We will prove that the PMF of Sn+1=Sn+Xn+1S_{n+1} = S_n + X_{n+1} also follows a Binomial distribution.

Step 4: Inductive Step (Using Convolutions)

We express Sn+1=Sn+Xn+1S_{n+1} = S_n + X_{n+1}. Since Xn+1Bernoulli(p)X_{n+1} \sim \text{Bernoulli}(p), the PMF of Sn+1S_{n+1} is the convolution of the PMFs of SnS_n and Xn+1X_{n+1}. The convolution formula is: P(Sn+1=k)=P(Sn+Xn+1=k)=P(Sn=k)P(Xn+1=0)+P(Sn=k1)P(Xn+1=1).P(S_{n+1} = k) = P(S_n + X_{n+1} = k) = P(S_n = k) P(X_{n+1} = 0) + P(S_n = k-1) P(X_{n+1} = 1). Substituting the Bernoulli probabilities: P(Sn+1=k)=P(Sn=k)(1p)+P(Sn=k1)p.P(S_{n+1} = k) = P(S_n = k) (1 - p) + P(S_n = k - 1) p. Using the induction hypothesis, we know: P(Sn=k)=(nk)pk(1p)nkandP(Sn=k1)=(nk1)pk1(1p)n(k1).P(S_n = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1 - p)^{n - k} \quad \text{and} \quad P(S_n = k - 1) = \binom{n}{k-1} p^{k-1} (1 - p)^{n - (k - 1)}. Thus, we can write: P(Sn+1=k)=(nk)pk(1p)nk+1+(nk1)pk(1p)nk+1.P(S_{n+1} = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1 - p)^{n - k + 1} + \binom{n}{k-1} p^k (1 - p)^{n - k + 1}. Factoring out the common terms: P(Sn+1=k)=pk(1p)nk+1((nk)+(nk1)).P(S_{n+1} = k) = p^k (1 - p)^{n - k + 1} \left( \binom{n}{k} + \binom{n}{k-1} \right). Using Pascal's identity (nk)+(nk1)=(n+1k)\binom{n}{k} + \binom{n}{k-1} = \binom{n+1}{k}, we get: P(Sn+1=k)=(n+1k)pk(1p)(n+1)k.P(S_{n+1} = k) = \binom{n+1}{k} p^k (1 - p)^{(n + 1) - k}. Thus, the PMF of Sn+1S_{n+1} matches the Binomial PMF with parameters n+1n+1 and pp.

Step 5: Conclusion

By the principle of mathematical induction, the PMF of the sum of nn i.i.d. Bernoulli random variables, Sn=X1+X2++XnS_n = X_1 + X_2 + \dots + X_n, follows the Binomial distribution: P(Sn=k)=(nk)pk(1p)nk,k=0,1,,n.P(S_n = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1 - p)^{n - k}, \quad k = 0, 1, \dots, n.

This completes the proof.


Would you like more details on any step? Here are some related questions you can explore:

  1. How does Pascal's triangle identity help in the convolution of Bernoulli variables?
  2. What is the significance of convolution in probability theory?
  3. Can the proof be generalized for other distributions using convolution?
  4. How would the proof change for non-i.i.d. Bernoulli variables?
  5. What are other ways to prove the PMF of a Binomial distribution?

Tip: Always pay attention to the base case and how the induction hypothesis is used in the inductive step, as this ensures the proof works for all nn.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability Theory
Binomial Distribution
Bernoulli Distribution
Induction
Convolutions
Pascal's Triangle

Formulas

PMF of Binomial Distribution: P(S_n = k) = (n choose k) * p^k * (1 - p)^(n - k)
Pascal's Identity: (n choose k) + (n choose k-1) = (n+1 choose k)
Convolution Formula: P(S_{n+1} = k) = P(S_n = k) * P(X_{n+1} = 0) + P(S_n = k-1) * P(X_{n+1} = 1)

Theorems

Pascal's Triangle Combinatorial Identity
Mathematical Induction

Suitable Grade Level

Advanced Undergraduate / Graduate Level