Math Problem Statement

Players A and B play a sequence of independent games. Player A throws a die first and wins on a 6. If he fails, B throws and wins on a 5 or 6. And so on. Find the probability of each player winning the sequence.

Solution

To solve the problem, we need to determine the probability that Player A wins the sequence and the probability that Player B wins the sequence, given their respective winning conditions:

  • Player A wins if he rolls a 6 on his turn.
  • Player B wins if he rolls a 5 or 6 on his turn, but only if Player A does not win in the preceding round.

Let's define the following probabilities:

  • P(A)P(A): Probability that Player A wins.
  • P(B)P(B): Probability that Player B wins.

Step-by-Step Solution:

  1. Probability of Player A winning on his first roll:

    • Player A rolls a 6: P(A wins on first roll)=16P(\text{A wins on first roll}) = \frac{1}{6}.
  2. Probability that Player A does not win on his first roll:

    • Player A does not roll a 6: P(A does not win)=56P(\text{A does not win}) = \frac{5}{6}.
  3. Probability of Player B winning on his first roll:

    • Player B rolls a 5 or 6: P(B wins on first roll)=26=13P(\text{B wins on first roll}) = \frac{2}{6} = \frac{1}{3}.
  4. Probability that Player B does not win on his first roll:

    • Player B rolls something other than 5 or 6: P(B does not win)=46=23P(\text{B does not win}) = \frac{4}{6} = \frac{2}{3}.

Recursive Probability Calculations:

Let P(A)P(A) and P(B)P(B) denote the overall probabilities of Player A and Player B winning the sequence, respectively.

Player A's Probability:

  • Player A can win immediately on his first roll with probability 16\frac{1}{6}.
  • If Player A doesn't win on the first roll, Player B has a chance to win. If Player B doesn't win, the sequence resets to the original state (with Player A rolling first again).

Thus, the probability that Player A eventually wins is: P(A)=16+(56)(23)P(A)P(A) = \frac{1}{6} + \left(\frac{5}{6}\right)\left(\frac{2}{3}\right)P(A)

Simplifying this equation: P(A)=16+1018P(A)P(A) = \frac{1}{6} + \frac{10}{18}P(A) P(A)1018P(A)=16P(A) - \frac{10}{18}P(A) = \frac{1}{6} 818P(A)=16\frac{8}{18}P(A) = \frac{1}{6} P(A)=16×188=38P(A) = \frac{1}{6} \times \frac{18}{8} = \frac{3}{8}

Player B's Probability:

  • Since the probabilities must sum to 1 (either Player A or Player B must eventually win), we have: P(B)=1P(A)=138=58P(B) = 1 - P(A) = 1 - \frac{3}{8} = \frac{5}{8}

Final Probabilities:

  • Probability that Player A wins the sequence: 38\frac{3}{8}.
  • Probability that Player B wins the sequence: 58\frac{5}{8}.

Would you like further clarification on any part of this solution, or do you have any other questions?

Here are 5 related questions to consider:

  1. What would be the probabilities if Player A had to roll a 5 or 6 to win?
  2. How would the game change if Player B could only win by rolling a 6?
  3. What is the expected number of rounds until a player wins?
  4. How does the probability change if Player B rolls first instead of Player A?
  5. What is the probability of each player winning if Player A needs a 6, but Player B needs a 4, 5, or 6 to win?

Tip: Recursive probabilities often arise in games where outcomes depend on the results of repeated trials. Solving such problems typically involves recognizing the recursive structure and setting up the appropriate equation.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability

Formulas

Recursive probability formula

Theorems

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Suitable Grade Level

High School