Math Problem Statement

A and B thraw alternatively with a pair of alternative dice, A wins if he get, 6 before B gers and B wins if he throw 1 before A throws 6. If t begin what is the probability that t win the game.

Solution

Let’s define the situation in terms of probabilities.

  • A wins if he throws a 6 before B throws a 1.
  • B wins if he throws a 1 before A throws a 6.

Step-by-Step Analysis:

  1. Possible Outcomes on a Die: Each die has 6 faces, so when A or B throws a die, there are 6 possible outcomes. The possible favorable outcomes for A are when a 6 is thrown, and for B, the favorable outcome is when a 1 is thrown.

  2. Defining Probabilities:

    • The probability of A throwing a 6 on any throw is P(A6)=16P(A_6) = \frac{1}{6}.
    • The probability of B throwing a 1 on any throw is P(B1)=16P(B_1) = \frac{1}{6}.
    • The probability of A not throwing a 6 (i.e., throwing any other number except 6) is P(Anot 6)=56P(A_{\text{not 6}}) = \frac{5}{6}.
    • The probability of B not throwing a 1 (i.e., throwing any other number except 1) is P(Bnot 1)=56P(B_{\text{not 1}}) = \frac{5}{6}.
  3. Game Sequence:

    • A and B alternate throws. A goes first.
    • On A’s first turn, he can either throw a 6 and win, or throw a number other than 6 (which leads to B’s turn).
    • If B’s turn comes up, he can either throw a 1 and win, or throw a number other than 1 (which leads back to A’s turn).

    This alternation will continue until one of them wins.

Define Probability pp for A’s Win:

Let’s define the probability of A winning as pp. On A's first turn, two things can happen:

  1. A wins immediately: This happens if A throws a 6. The probability of this is 16\frac{1}{6}.
  2. The game continues: If A does not throw a 6 (which happens with probability 56\frac{5}{6}), it becomes B's turn to throw. If B throws a 1 (probability 16\frac{1}{6}), B wins. Otherwise, the game returns to A, with the same situation as before.

Thus, we can set up the following equation for pp:

p=(16)+(56×(56×p))p = \left( \frac{1}{6} \right) + \left( \frac{5}{6} \times \left( \frac{5}{6} \times p \right) \right)

Here:

  • 16\frac{1}{6} represents the probability that A wins on the first throw by throwing a 6.
  • 56×56\frac{5}{6} \times \frac{5}{6} is the probability that both A and B fail to win on their first throws, after which the situation resets.

Simplifying the Equation:

p=16+2536pp = \frac{1}{6} + \frac{25}{36}p

Now, solve for pp:

p2536p=16p - \frac{25}{36}p = \frac{1}{6}

1136p=16\frac{11}{36}p = \frac{1}{6}

p=16×3611=611p = \frac{1}{6} \times \frac{36}{11} = \frac{6}{11}

Thus, the probability that A wins the game is 611\frac{6}{11}.


Would you like further clarification on the steps or any additional details about this probability model?

Here are 5 related questions for you:

  1. How does the probability change if A goes second instead of first?
  2. What would the probabilities look like if the dice were biased, say A has a 50% chance to throw a 6?
  3. How can we extend this model to include more players?
  4. What would happen if B’s favorable outcome changed to a 2 instead of a 1?
  5. How does the sequence of independent trials in probability theory apply here?

Tip: When dealing with alternating events in probability problems, setting up recursive equations (like the one we used above) is a powerful method for finding the solution.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Recursive Probability
Independent Events

Formulas

p = (1/6) + (5/6) * (5/6) * p

Theorems

Recursive Probability Equations

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12