Math Problem Statement
Nominal income refers to an income value that is not adjusted for inflation. Real income adjusts the nominal value for the rate of inflation. Real income per capita is considered a good measure of the buying power of an individual in a particular area because it adjusts for both the number of people in the area and the relative inflation of the area. According to Forbes magazine, the state with the highest annual real income per capita in is Connecticut with a real per capita income of . Suppose that the annual real income of individuals in Connecticut follows a normal distribution with a mean of and standard deviation of .
a. What is the probability that an individual in Connecticut has an annual real income of or more (to 2 decimals)?
0.758
b. What is the probability that an individual in Connecticut has an annual real income of or less (to 0 decimal)?
c. What is the probability that an individual in Connecticut has an annual real income between and (to 2 decimals)?
d. What is the annual real income of a person in the percentile of annual real income in Connecticut (to 2 decimals)?
Solution
Let's break down each part of the problem and solve them using properties of the normal distribution.
The given information:
- The real income in Connecticut is normally distributed.
- Mean (assuming this value based on typical data patterns; adjust as necessary).
- Standard deviation .
a. Probability that an individual has an annual real income of or more.
To solve this, we use the z-score formula: Where:
- is the value we are interested in (here, ).
- (mean).
- (standard deviation).
So, the z-score for is:
Using the z-score of 1.25, we can look up the corresponding probability from a standard normal distribution table or use a calculator.
- The cumulative probability is approximately .
So, the probability that an individual has an income of or more is:
Thus, the probability is approximately 0.11 (rounded to 2 decimal places).
b. Probability that an individual has an annual real income of or less.
First, calculate the z-score for :
Using the z-score of -0.83, the cumulative probability is approximately .
Thus, the probability that an individual has an income of or less is about 0.2033, or 20% (rounded to 0 decimal place, this would be 0).
c. Probability that an individual has an annual real income between and .
We need to find the z-scores for both and :
-
For : The cumulative probability is approximately .
-
For : The cumulative probability is approximately .
To find the probability that an individual has an income between and :
Thus, the probability is approximately 0.32 (rounded to 2 decimal places).
d. Annual real income at the 90th percentile.
To find the income corresponding to the 90th percentile, we first look up the z-score corresponding to a cumulative probability of 0.90. The z-score is approximately .
We now use the z-score formula in reverse to find the income:
Thus, the annual real income at the 90th percentile is approximately 75,360 (rounded to 2 decimal places).
Would you like further details on any part of the solution?
Here are 5 additional questions you could consider:
- How would the probabilities change if the standard deviation was higher or lower?
- What is the probability that an individual earns more than ?
- How would the 90th percentile change if the mean income increased to ?
- What is the income level at the 50th percentile (median)?
- How does real income per capita account for inflation when compared to nominal income?
Tip: Z-scores help translate normal distribution data into a standardized form, making it easier to find probabilities and percentiles.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Normal Distribution
Probability
Z-scores
Formulas
Z = (X - μ) / σ
P(X ≥ a) = 1 - P(Z ≤ z-score)
P(a ≤ X ≤ b) = P(Z ≤ z2) - P(Z ≤ z1)
X = μ + Z * σ
Theorems
Properties of the Normal Distribution
Z-Score Calculation
Suitable Grade Level
College/University Level (Statistics)
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