Math Problem Statement

Below n is the sample size, p is the population proportion of successes, and X is the number of successes in the sample. Use the normal approximation and the cumulative normal distribution table to find the probability. Round to four decimal places. n = 85, p= 0.48. P(X> 32)=

Solution

To find P(X>32)P(X > 32) using the normal approximation, we follow these steps:

Step 1: Compute the mean and standard deviation of the binomial distribution

The mean μ\mu and standard deviation σ\sigma of a binomial distribution are given by:

μ=np\mu = n \cdot p σ=np(1p)\sigma = \sqrt{n \cdot p \cdot (1 - p)}

Given:

  • n=85n = 85
  • p=0.48p = 0.48

Now, calculate the mean and standard deviation:

μ=850.48=40.8\mu = 85 \cdot 0.48 = 40.8 σ=850.48(10.48)=850.480.524.6247\sigma = \sqrt{85 \cdot 0.48 \cdot (1 - 0.48)} = \sqrt{85 \cdot 0.48 \cdot 0.52} \approx 4.6247

Step 2: Use the continuity correction

Since we are using the normal approximation, we apply a continuity correction. For P(X>32)P(X > 32), we calculate P(X>32.5)P(X > 32.5).

Step 3: Convert to the standard normal variable

We convert X=32.5X = 32.5 to a ZZ-score using the formula:

Z=XμσZ = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}

Substitute the values:

Z=32.540.84.62478.34.62471.7942Z = \frac{32.5 - 40.8}{4.6247} \approx \frac{-8.3}{4.6247} \approx -1.7942

Step 4: Find the probability from the cumulative normal distribution table

Using the cumulative normal distribution table, find the probability corresponding to Z=1.7942Z = -1.7942.

For Z1.79Z \approx -1.79, the cumulative probability is approximately 0.0367.

Step 5: Calculate the required probability

Since we are looking for P(X>32)P(X > 32), we need to subtract this cumulative probability from 1:

P(X>32)=10.0367=0.9633P(X > 32) = 1 - 0.0367 = 0.9633

Final Answer:

P(X>32)0.9633P(X > 32) \approx 0.9633

Would you like more details or have any questions?

Here are 5 related questions:

  1. How does the continuity correction affect normal approximation?
  2. How would the probability change if pp were higher, say 0.6?
  3. Why do we use the standard normal distribution in binomial probability problems?
  4. Can the normal approximation be used for small sample sizes?
  5. How does the cumulative normal distribution table help in these problems?

Tip: Always check if npnp and n(1p)n(1 - p) are both greater than 5 when using the normal approximation for binomial probabilities.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Normal Approximation
Binomial Distribution

Formulas

Mean of binomial distribution: μ = n * p
Standard deviation of binomial distribution: σ = √(n * p * (1 - p))
Z-score formula: Z = (X - μ) / σ

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem
Continuity Correction

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 11-12 / College Level