Math Problem Statement
Assume that on a standardized test of 100 questions, a person has a probability of 85% of answering any particular question correctly. Find the probability of answering between 77 and 87 questions, inclusive. (Assume independence, and round your answer to four decimal places.) P(77 ≤ X ≤ 87) =
Solution
To solve this, we need to use the binomial distribution, as each question is an independent Bernoulli trial with a success probability .
Let:
- be the number of questions answered correctly,
- (total questions),
- (probability of answering correctly).
We want to find the probability , which is the sum of the probabilities from to .
Step 1: Approximate with a Normal Distribution
Since is large, we can use the normal approximation to the binomial distribution. According to the approximation, if , then can be approximated by , where:
- ,
- .
Step 2: Apply the Continuity Correction
To account for the discrete nature of , we use a continuity correction. We seek: where .
Step 3: Standardize and Calculate
Standardize the values:
- For :
- For :
Now, we find the probabilities using a standard normal table:
From standard normal tables:
- ,
- .
Thus:
Final Answer
Would you like further details or explanations?
Here are some related questions for further exploration:
- What is the probability of getting exactly 85 questions correct?
- How would the probability change if the success rate was 90%?
- How is the continuity correction applied in normal approximations?
- Why is the binomial distribution approximated by the normal distribution?
- How would we calculate without normal approximation?
Tip: When using normal approximation for binomial distributions, remember to apply the continuity correction to improve accuracy.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Binomial Distribution
Normal Approximation
Probability Theory
Continuity Correction
Formulas
Binomial Distribution Formula: P(X = k) = (n choose k) * p^k * (1-p)^(n-k)
Normal Approximation: X ~ N(μ, σ^2), where μ = np, σ = sqrt(np(1-p))
Continuity Correction: P(a ≤ X ≤ b) ≈ P(a-0.5 ≤ Y ≤ b+0.5) for large n
Theorems
Central Limit Theorem
Normal Approximation to the Binomial Distribution
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 11-12
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