Math Problem Statement

Assume that on a standardized test of 100 questions, a person has a probability of 75% of answering any particular question correctly. Find the probability of answering between 79 and 89 questions, inclusive. (Assume independence, and round your answer to four decimal places.) P(79 ≤ X ≤ 89) =

Solution

This problem involves a binomial distribution, where the number of correctly answered questions follows:

XBinomial(n=100,p=0.75)X \sim \text{Binomial}(n=100, p=0.75)

We need to calculate:

P(79X89)P(79 \leq X \leq 89)

Since nn is large, we can approximate the binomial distribution using the normal distribution with the following parameters:

  • Mean:
    μ=np=100(0.75)=75\mu = n p = 100(0.75) = 75
  • Standard deviation:
    σ=np(1p)=100(0.75)(0.25)=18.754.33\sigma = \sqrt{n p (1 - p)} = \sqrt{100(0.75)(0.25)} = \sqrt{18.75} \approx 4.33

Using the normal approximation, we apply the continuity correction and transform the probability into the standard normal distribution:

P(78.5X89.5)P(78.5 \leq X \leq 89.5)

Standardizing to Z-Scores:

Z=XμσZ = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}

For X=78.5X = 78.5:

Z=78.5754.33=3.54.330.81Z = \frac{78.5 - 75}{4.33} = \frac{3.5}{4.33} \approx 0.81

For X=89.5X = 89.5:

Z=89.5754.33=14.54.333.35Z = \frac{89.5 - 75}{4.33} = \frac{14.5}{4.33} \approx 3.35

Finding Probabilities:

From standard normal tables:

P(Z3.35)0.9996P(Z \leq 3.35) \approx 0.9996

P(Z0.81)0.7910P(Z \leq 0.81) \approx 0.7910

Thus, the probability is:

P(79X89)0.99960.7910=0.2086P(79 \leq X \leq 89) \approx 0.9996 - 0.7910 = 0.2086

Final Answer:

0.2086\boxed{0.2086}

Would you like a deeper explanation of any step? Here are some related questions:

  1. How do you derive the normal approximation for a binomial distribution?
  2. Why is a continuity correction necessary in this approximation?
  3. How can we calculate binomial probabilities without normal approximation?
  4. What are other methods to approximate binomial probabilities?
  5. How do standard normal tables work in probability calculations?

Tip: When using normal approximation for a binomial distribution, always check that npnp and n(1p)n(1 - p) are both at least 5 to ensure accuracy.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Binomial Distribution
Normal Distribution
Z-Scores
Continuity Correction

Formulas

Binomial Distribution: X ~ Binomial(n, p)
Normal Approximation: μ = np, σ = sqrt(np(1-p))
Z-Score: Z = (X - μ) / σ

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem
Normal Approximation to Binomial Distribution

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12