Math Problem Statement

A student takes a 25-question multiple choice test with four options each. If they guess at every answer, what is the probability they will guess 8 out of the 25 correctly?

Solution

To calculate the probability of guessing exactly 8 correct answers out of 25 questions on a multiple choice test where each question has 4 options, we can use the binomial probability formula. The binomial probability is given by:

P(X=k)=(nk)pk(1p)nkP(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} \cdot p^k \cdot (1 - p)^{n - k}

Where:

  • n=25n = 25 (total number of questions),
  • k=8k = 8 (number of correct guesses),
  • p=14p = \frac{1}{4} (probability of guessing correctly, since there are 4 options and only one correct answer).

Now, applying the values into the formula:

P(X=8)=(258)(14)8(34)17P(X = 8) = \binom{25}{8} \cdot \left(\frac{1}{4}\right)^8 \cdot \left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^{17}

First, calculate (258)\binom{25}{8}, which is the binomial coefficient.

(258)=25!8!(258)!\binom{25}{8} = \frac{25!}{8!(25-8)!}

Let's compute this and the entire probability expression.The probability of guessing exactly 8 correct answers out of 25 questions, with each question having 4 options, is approximately 0.124, or 12.41%.

Would you like further details on this calculation or have any questions?

Here are five related questions for deeper exploration:

  1. What is the probability of guessing exactly 10 correct answers out of 25?
  2. How does the probability change if there were 5 options per question instead of 4?
  3. What is the probability of guessing fewer than 8 correct answers?
  4. How does increasing the number of questions to 30 affect the probability of guessing 8 correctly?
  5. What is the expected number of correct answers when guessing on all questions?

Tip: Binomial distributions are helpful when you are dealing with a fixed number of independent trials with two possible outcomes (success or failure).

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Binomial Distribution

Formulas

P(X = k) = (n choose k) * p^k * (1 - p)^(n - k)

Theorems

Binomial Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12