Math Problem Statement

Given a probability problem involving events A and B, and a scenario about girls in Vale do Rei with specific probabilities for green eyes and blonde hair, solve the following: a) Prove the formula P(A ∩ B) = P(A) - P(A \ B) + P(A | B) * P(B). b) Solve two subproblems: b1) Find the probability that a randomly chosen girl is not blonde and does not have green eyes. b2) Calculate how many different committees of 5 girls can be formed such that exactly two have blonde hair, given there are 120 girls in total.

Solution

Let's analyze and solve the problem step by step:


Problem a)

You are asked to prove the following formula: P(AB)=P(A)P(AB)+P(AB)P(B)P(A \cap B) = P(A) - P(A \setminus B) + P(A \mid B) \cdot P(B)

Key concepts to use:

  1. P(AB)=P(A)P(AB)P(A \cap B) = P(A) - P(A \setminus B): This comes from the fact that A=(AB)(AB)A = (A \setminus B) \cup (A \cap B), and (AB)(A \setminus B) and (AB)(A \cap B) are disjoint sets.

  2. P(AB)=P(AB)P(B)P(A \cap B) = P(A \mid B) \cdot P(B): This is the definition of conditional probability.

We combine these two ideas to prove the given equality. Here's the outline:

  • Decompose P(A)P(A) into its contributions from ABA \setminus B and ABA \cap B.
  • Use the definition of conditional probability.

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Problem b1)

From the problem:

  • 14\frac{1}{4} of the girls have green eyes.
  • 13\frac{1}{3} of the girls have blonde hair.
  • Of the blonde-haired girls, 12\frac{1}{2} have green eyes.

You are tasked to find the probability that a randomly chosen girl is not blonde and does not have green eyes.

Approach:

  1. Use the information to calculate P(blonde)P(\text{blonde}), P(green eyes)P(\text{green eyes}), and P(blondegreen eyes)P(\text{blonde} \cap \text{green eyes}).
  2. Use complementary probabilities for P(not blonde)P(\text{not blonde}) and P(not green eyes)P(\text{not green eyes}).
  3. Subtract overlaps to find P(not blondenot green eyes)P(\text{not blonde} \cap \text{not green eyes}).

Problem b2)

There are 120 girls in Vale do Rei, and you need to form a committee of 5 girls such that exactly two have blonde hair.

Approach:

  1. Calculate the number of blonde-haired girls (13120=40\frac{1}{3} \cdot 120 = 40).
  2. Calculate the number of non-blonde-haired girls (12040=80120 - 40 = 80).
  3. Use combinations to determine:
    • Ways to select 2 blonde-haired girls: (402)\binom{40}{2}.
    • Ways to select 3 non-blonde-haired girls: (803)\binom{80}{3}.
  4. Multiply the results to find the total number of valid committees.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability theory
Conditional probability
Combinatorics

Formulas

P(A ∩ B) = P(A) - P(A \ B) + P(A | B) * P(B)
Combination formula: C(n, k) = n! / [k! * (n - k)!]
Complement rule: P(not A) = 1 - P(A)

Theorems

Definition of conditional probability: P(A | B) = P(A ∩ B) / P(B)

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12 (High School)