Math Problem Statement

A computer program is tested by 3 independent tests. When there is an error, these tests will discover it with probabilities 0.2, 0.3, and 0.5, respectively. Suppose that the program contains an error. What is the probability that it will be found by at least one test?

Solution

We are given that a computer program is tested by three independent tests, with the probabilities of discovering an error by each test being P(A1)=0.2P(A_1) = 0.2, P(A2)=0.3P(A_2) = 0.3, and P(A3)=0.5P(A_3) = 0.5.

We need to find the probability that at least one test will discover the error.

Step 1: Define Events

Let A1A_1, A2A_2, and A3A_3 represent the events that the first, second, and third tests detect the error, respectively. Since the tests are independent, the probability of none of the tests detecting the error is the product of the probabilities that each individual test fails to detect it.

  • The probability that the first test does not detect the error is P(A1c)=1P(A1)=10.2=0.8P(A_1^c) = 1 - P(A_1) = 1 - 0.2 = 0.8.
  • The probability that the second test does not detect the error is P(A2c)=1P(A2)=0.7P(A_2^c) = 1 - P(A_2) = 0.7.
  • The probability that the third test does not detect the error is P(A3c)=1P(A3)=0.5P(A_3^c) = 1 - P(A_3) = 0.5.

Step 2: Probability of No Detection

The probability that none of the tests detect the error is the product of these complementary probabilities: P(none of the tests detect the error)=P(A1c)P(A2c)P(A3c)=0.8×0.7×0.5=0.28.P(\text{none of the tests detect the error}) = P(A_1^c) \cdot P(A_2^c) \cdot P(A_3^c) = 0.8 \times 0.7 \times 0.5 = 0.28.

Step 3: Probability of At Least One Detection

The probability that at least one test will detect the error is the complement of the probability that none of the tests detect the error: P(at least one test detects the error)=1P(none detect the error)=10.28=0.72.P(\text{at least one test detects the error}) = 1 - P(\text{none detect the error}) = 1 - 0.28 = 0.72.

Thus, the probability that at least one test will detect the error is 0.72\boxed{0.72}.


Would you like more details on any part of the solution?

Relative Questions:

  1. What is the probability that exactly two tests will detect the error?
  2. How would the probability change if the tests were not independent?
  3. What is the probability that only the second test detects the error?
  4. How would the solution change if there were 4 independent tests?
  5. Can we generalize this method for nn independent tests with different detection probabilities?

Tip:

For problems involving independent events, it's often easier to calculate the probability of none of the events occurring and subtract that from 1 to find the probability of at least one event happening.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Independent Events
Complement Rule

Formulas

P(at least one event) = 1 - P(none of the events)
P(none of the tests detect the error) = P(A1^c) * P(A2^c) * P(A3^c)

Theorems

Complement Rule for Probability

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12