Math Problem Statement

Suppose you conduct 27 independent tests at the 5% significance level each. Your probability of making a Type I error on any given one of the tests is 5%. What is the probability you do not commit any Type I errors when conducting 27 independent tests? Write your answer as a decimal (so 0.523 rather than 52.3) and round your answer to 4 decimal places.

Solution

The probability of not committing a Type I error on any single test is:

10.05=0.951 - 0.05 = 0.95

Since the tests are independent, the probability of not committing any Type I errors across all 27 tests is:

0.95270.95^{27}

Let's calculate this:

0.95270.24550.95^{27} \approx 0.2455

So, the probability of not committing any Type I errors when conducting 27 independent tests is approximately:

0.2455\boxed{0.2455}

Would you like further explanation on this calculation or have any additional questions?

Here are some related questions you might find interesting:

  1. How does the probability change if the significance level is reduced to 1%?
  2. What is the probability of committing at least one Type I error across the 27 tests?
  3. How would the probability be affected if the number of tests increased to 50?
  4. Why is it important to consider Type I error probabilities in hypothesis testing?
  5. How would dependent tests change the calculation of Type I error probabilities?

Tip: When performing multiple hypothesis tests, consider using a correction method, like Bonferroni, to control the overall Type I error rate.

Ask a new question for Free

By Image

Drop file here or Click Here to upload

Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Type I Error
Independent Events

Formulas

P(no Type I errors) = (1 - significance level)^n

Theorems

Probability Multiplication Rule for Independent Events

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate - Statistics