Math Problem Statement
Suppose you conduct 27 independent tests at the 5% significance level each. Your probability of making a Type I error on any given one of the tests is 5%. What is the probability you do not commit any Type I errors when conducting 27 independent tests? Write your answer as a decimal (so 0.523 rather than 52.3) and round your answer to 4 decimal places.
Solution
The probability of not committing a Type I error on any single test is:
Since the tests are independent, the probability of not committing any Type I errors across all 27 tests is:
Let's calculate this:
So, the probability of not committing any Type I errors when conducting 27 independent tests is approximately:
Would you like further explanation on this calculation or have any additional questions?
Here are some related questions you might find interesting:
- How does the probability change if the significance level is reduced to 1%?
- What is the probability of committing at least one Type I error across the 27 tests?
- How would the probability be affected if the number of tests increased to 50?
- Why is it important to consider Type I error probabilities in hypothesis testing?
- How would dependent tests change the calculation of Type I error probabilities?
Tip: When performing multiple hypothesis tests, consider using a correction method, like Bonferroni, to control the overall Type I error rate.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Probability
Type I Error
Independent Events
Formulas
P(no Type I errors) = (1 - significance level)^n
Theorems
Probability Multiplication Rule for Independent Events
Suitable Grade Level
Undergraduate - Statistics
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