Math Problem Statement

Successful implementation of a new system is based on three independent modules. Module 1 works properly with probability 0.96. For modules 2 and 3, these probabilities equal 0.95 and 0.90. Compute the probability that at least one of these three modules fails to work properly.

Solution

To solve this problem, we need to calculate the probability that at least one of the three modules fails to work properly.

Step-by-Step Approach:

Let:

  • P(M1)=0.96P(M_1) = 0.96 be the probability that module 1 works properly.
  • P(M2)=0.95P(M_2) = 0.95 be the probability that module 2 works properly.
  • P(M3)=0.90P(M_3) = 0.90 be the probability that module 3 works properly.

The problem asks for the probability that at least one module fails, which is equivalent to 11 minus the probability that all modules work properly.

Step 1: Compute the probability that all three modules work properly

Since the modules are independent, the probability that all three modules work properly is the product of their individual probabilities:

P(all work)=P(M1)×P(M2)×P(M3)P(\text{all work}) = P(M_1) \times P(M_2) \times P(M_3) P(all work)=0.96×0.95×0.90P(\text{all work}) = 0.96 \times 0.95 \times 0.90

Step 2: Compute the result

Let's calculate this product:

P(all work)=0.96×0.95×0.90=0.8208P(\text{all work}) = 0.96 \times 0.95 \times 0.90 = 0.8208

Step 3: Compute the probability that at least one module fails

The probability that at least one module fails is the complement of the probability that all modules work properly:

P(at least one fails)=1P(all work)P(\text{at least one fails}) = 1 - P(\text{all work}) P(at least one fails)=10.8208=0.1792P(\text{at least one fails}) = 1 - 0.8208 = 0.1792

Final Answer:

The probability that at least one of the three modules fails is 0.17920.1792.


Would you like more details or have any questions?

Here are 5 related questions to deepen your understanding:

  1. What is the probability that exactly one of the three modules fails?
  2. What is the probability that none of the modules fail?
  3. How would the result change if the modules were not independent?
  4. If the modules were dependent, how would you approach solving the problem?
  5. What is the probability that exactly two of the three modules work properly?

Tip: When dealing with independent events, multiplying individual probabilities helps you find the probability of all events occurring together.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Independent Events
Complement Rule

Formulas

P(at least one fails) = 1 - P(all work properly)
P(all work) = P(M1) × P(M2) × P(M3)

Theorems

Multiplication Rule for Independent Events
Complement Rule

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12