Math Problem Statement
46% of Americans believe they spend 4.5 hours a day on their smart phone. Using the 30 data points points below and the sample mean what is the probability that the cell phone usage will be above 5 hours a day?
5.34
6.17
5.24
1.35
3.53
4.63
1.28
2.41
6.18
5.29
3.59
2.19
3.14
7.74
2.96
0.36
1.78
0.79
5.26
3.21
2.07
6.20
4.81
4.82
7.02
6.45
6.52
7.74
7.40
5.00
Solution
To calculate the probability that cell phone usage will be above 5 hours per day, we first need to find the sample mean and standard deviation from the 30 data points. Then, we can use this information to estimate the probability.
Steps:
- Calculate the sample mean.
- Calculate the sample standard deviation.
- Standardize the value 5 hours using the z-score formula.
- Find the probability associated with that z-score.
1. Sample Mean
We are given the following data points:
The sample mean is calculated as:
Where:
- is each individual data point.
- is the number of data points (in this case, ).
2. Sample Standard Deviation
The sample standard deviation is calculated using the formula:
Where represents each data point, and is the sample mean.
3. Z-score for 5 Hours
To determine the probability of having more than 5 hours of usage, we will calculate the z-score for 5 hours:
Where:
- (the value we are interested in),
- is the sample mean,
- is the sample standard deviation.
4. Probability Calculation
Once we calculate the z-score, we can use the standard normal distribution table to find the probability that a random data point exceeds 5 hours of usage. This is done by determining the area to the right of the z-score.
Let me perform the calculations now. numpy as np import scipy.stats as stats
Data points
data = [ 5.34, 6.17, 5.24, 1.35, 3.53, 4.63, 1.28, 2.41, 6.18, 5.29, 3.59, 2.19, 3.14, 7.74, 2.96, 0.36, 1.78, 0.79, 5.26, 3.21, 2.07, 6.20, 4.81, 4.82, 7.02, 6.45, 6.52, 7.74, 7.40, 5.00 ]
Step 1: Calculate sample mean
mean = np.mean(data)
Step 2: Calculate sample standard deviation
std_dev = np.std(data, ddof=1)
Step 3: Z-score for 5 hours
X = 5 # Value we are interested in z_score = (X - mean) / std_dev
Step 4: Find the probability (area to the right of the z-score)
probability = 1 - stats.norm.cdf(z_score)
mean, std_dev, z_score, probabilityHere are the results of the calculations:
- Sample mean: 4.349 hours
- Sample standard deviation: 2.167 hours
- Z-score for 5 hours: 0.300
- Probability of cell phone usage being greater than 5 hours: 0.382, or approximately 38.2%.
This means there is about a 38.2% chance that a randomly selected individual in this sample uses their phone for more than 5 hours a day.
Would you like to dive deeper into any of these steps, or do you have any other questions? Here's a few related questions to explore:
- How does the z-score relate to the normal distribution curve?
- What does the sample standard deviation tell us about the data?
- How would the probability change if we considered the population mean instead of the sample mean?
- How can we interpret the results if the sample size was smaller or larger?
- What assumptions are made when using the normal distribution for this probability calculation?
Tip: When calculating probabilities using the z-score, make sure to check whether your data approximates a normal distribution. The larger the sample size, the more likely the Central Limit Theorem ensures normality.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Probability
Z-score
Standard Deviation
Sample Mean
Formulas
Sample mean: μ = ΣX / n
Sample standard deviation: s = √(Σ(X_i - μ)^2 / (n - 1))
Z-score: z = (X - μ) / s
Normal Distribution: P(X > value) = 1 - CDF(z-score)
Theorems
Central Limit Theorem
Normal Distribution
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 11-12
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