Math Problem Statement

Assume the random variable X has a binomial distribution with the given probability of obtaining a success. Find the following probability, given the number of trials and the probability of obtaining a success. Round your answer to four decimal places.

P(X>1) , n=5 , p=0.7

Solution

To find P(X>1)P(X > 1) where XX follows a binomial distribution with n=5n = 5 trials and probability of success p=0.7p = 0.7, we can break it down step by step.

The binomial probability mass function (PMF) is given by:

P(X=k)=(nk)pk(1p)nkP(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1-p)^{n-k}

Where:

  • n=5n = 5 (the number of trials),
  • p=0.7p = 0.7 (the probability of success),
  • kk is the number of successes.

We are asked to find P(X>1)P(X > 1), which is the probability that the number of successes is greater than 1. This can be expressed as:

P(X>1)=1P(X1)P(X > 1) = 1 - P(X \leq 1)

To calculate this, we need to first compute P(X1)P(X \leq 1), which includes P(X=0)P(X = 0) and P(X=1)P(X = 1):

P(X=0)=(50)(0.7)0(0.3)5=(1)×(1)×(0.3)5=0.00243P(X = 0) = \binom{5}{0} (0.7)^0 (0.3)^5 = (1) \times (1) \times (0.3)^5 = 0.00243 P(X=1)=(51)(0.7)1(0.3)4=5×(0.7)×(0.3)4=0.02835P(X = 1) = \binom{5}{1} (0.7)^1 (0.3)^4 = 5 \times (0.7) \times (0.3)^4 = 0.02835

Now, sum these probabilities:

P(X1)=P(X=0)+P(X=1)=0.00243+0.02835=0.03078P(X \leq 1) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) = 0.00243 + 0.02835 = 0.03078

Finally, to find P(X>1)P(X > 1), subtract from 1:

P(X>1)=10.03078=0.9692P(X > 1) = 1 - 0.03078 = 0.9692

Thus, the probability P(X>1)P(X > 1) is approximately 0.9692.


Would you like further details on binomial distribution? Here are some related questions:

  1. How do you calculate the mean and variance of a binomial distribution?
  2. What is the cumulative distribution function (CDF) for a binomial distribution?
  3. How would the probability change if the number of trials or probability of success were different?
  4. How do you apply the binomial distribution in real-world scenarios?
  5. How can you use normal approximation to estimate binomial probabilities when nn is large?

Tip: If you're dealing with large nn values in a binomial distribution, consider using the normal approximation for quicker calculations.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability Theory
Binomial Distribution

Formulas

P(X = k) = C(n, k) * p^k * (1-p)^(n-k)
P(X > 1) = 1 - P(X ≤ 1)

Theorems

Binomial Distribution Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 11-12