Math Problem Statement

Assume the random variable X has a binomial distribution with the given probability of obtaining a success. Find the following probability, given the number of trials and the probability of obtaining a success. Round your answer to four decimal places.

P(X<2) , n=5 , p=0.7

Solution

We are asked to find P(X<2)P(X < 2) for a binomial distribution with parameters n=5n = 5 (number of trials) and p=0.7p = 0.7 (probability of success).

Steps:

The binomial probability P(X=k)P(X = k) is given by the formula:

P(X=k)=(nk)pk(1p)nkP(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1 - p)^{n - k}

where:

  • (nk)\binom{n}{k} is the binomial coefficient, calculated as n!k!(nk)!\frac{n!}{k!(n-k)!},
  • pp is the probability of success on each trial,
  • nn is the number of trials,
  • kk is the number of successes.

We need to find P(X<2)P(X < 2), which is the probability that XX is less than 2. This means we are looking for P(X=0)P(X = 0) and P(X=1)P(X = 1), and then summing them.

1. Find P(X=0)P(X = 0):

P(X=0)=(50)(0.7)0(0.3)5=1×1×0.00243=0.00243P(X = 0) = \binom{5}{0} (0.7)^0 (0.3)^5 = 1 \times 1 \times 0.00243 = 0.00243

2. Find P(X=1)P(X = 1):

P(X=1)=(51)(0.7)1(0.3)4=5×0.7×0.0081=0.02835P(X = 1) = \binom{5}{1} (0.7)^1 (0.3)^4 = 5 \times 0.7 \times 0.0081 = 0.02835

3. Find P(X<2)P(X < 2):

Now, we can sum these probabilities to get P(X<2)P(X < 2):

P(X<2)=P(X=0)+P(X=1)=0.00243+0.02835=0.03078P(X < 2) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) = 0.00243 + 0.02835 = 0.03078

Final Answer:

P(X<2)=0.0308P(X < 2) = 0.0308

So, the probability that XX is less than 2 is approximately 0.0308.


Would you like more details or have any questions?

Here are some related questions for further exploration:

  1. How would the probability change if pp was decreased to 0.5?
  2. What is the probability of exactly 3 successes (i.e., P(X=3)P(X = 3))?
  3. How can you generalize the binomial probability formula for larger values of nn?
  4. How would the answer change if the number of trials increased to 10?
  5. What happens to the binomial distribution as the number of trials nn becomes very large?

Tip: When calculating probabilities for binomial distributions, it's often useful to use a calculator or statistical software to avoid manual calculation errors.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Binomial Distribution
Probability Theory
Combinatorics

Formulas

P(X = k) = C(n, k) * p^k * (1 - p)^(n - k)
C(n, k) = n! / (k!(n - k)!)

Theorems

Binomial Distribution Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12