Math Problem Statement
Consider the system of components connected as in the accompanying picture. Components 1 and 2 are connected in parallel, so that subsystem works if and only if either 1 or 2 works; since 3 and 4 are connected in series, that subsystem works if and only if both 3 and 4 work. If components work independently of one another and P(component i works) = 0.82 for i = 1, 2 and = 0.68 for i = 3, 4, calculate P(system works). (Round your answer to four decimal places.)
Solution
In this problem, you have a system of four components connected in a combination of parallel and series configurations. Here's a breakdown of the system's structure:
- Components 1 and 2 are connected in parallel. The parallel subsystem works if either 1 or 2 works.
- Components 3 and 4 are connected in series. The series subsystem works if both 3 and 4 work.
The goal is to calculate the probability that the entire system works, which depends on both the parallel and series subsystems working independently.
Step 1: Probability that the parallel subsystem works
For components 1 and 2 connected in parallel, the subsystem works if either component works. The formula for the probability that at least one of two components works in parallel is:
The probability that both components fail is:
Since the probability that a component works is 0.82 for both 1 and 2, the probability that each component fails is:
Thus, the probability that both components fail is:
So, the probability that the parallel subsystem works is:
Step 2: Probability that the series subsystem works
For components 3 and 4 connected in series, the subsystem works if both components work. The probability that both components work is:
The probability that each component works is 0.68 for both 3 and 4. So, the probability that the series subsystem works is:
Step 3: Probability that the entire system works
The entire system works if both the parallel subsystem (components 1 and 2) and the series subsystem (components 3 and 4) work. Since these two subsystems are independent, the probability that the entire system works is:
Substituting the values:
Thus, the probability that the system works is approximately:
Final Answer:
The probability that the system works is , rounded to four decimal places.
Would you like more details on any step or have further questions?
Here are 5 related questions to think about:
- What is the probability that the parallel subsystem fails?
- How does the system reliability change if component 1's probability is reduced?
- How would the system work probability change if components 3 and 4 were in parallel instead of series?
- What would happen if all components had different probabilities of working?
- How would adding a third component in parallel with components 1 and 2 affect the system's overall reliability?
Tip: Understanding the difference between series and parallel systems is key when calculating the overall reliability in complex systems!
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Probability
Series and Parallel Systems
Independent Events
Formulas
P(system works) = P(parallel works) × P(series works)
P(parallel works) = 1 - P(both fail)
P(series works) = P(component 3 works) × P(component 4 works)
Theorems
Multiplication Rule for Independent Events
Complement Rule
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 10-12
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