Math Problem Statement

Assume that on a standardized test of 100 questions, a person has a probability of 80% of answering any particular question correctly. Find the probability of answering between 74 and 84 questions, inclusive. (Assume independence, and round your answer to four decimal places.)

Solution

It appears that the question asks to calculate the probability of a person answering between 74 and 84 questions correctly, assuming a standardized test of 100 questions, where each question has an 80% probability of being answered correctly.

This is a binomial probability problem, where:

  • n=100n = 100 (number of trials, or questions),
  • p=0.80p = 0.80 (probability of success, or answering correctly),
  • kk is the number of successes (correct answers),
  • We are interested in finding P(74X84)P(74 \leq X \leq 84).

However, this problem is easier to solve using the normal approximation to the binomial distribution, since nn is large. The normal approximation is given by:

μ=n×p=100×0.8=80\mu = n \times p = 100 \times 0.8 = 80 σ=n×p×(1p)=100×0.8×0.2=16=4\sigma = \sqrt{n \times p \times (1 - p)} = \sqrt{100 \times 0.8 \times 0.2} = \sqrt{16} = 4

Using the normal approximation:

P(74X84)P(73.5804Z84.5804)P(74 \leq X \leq 84) \approx P\left(\frac{73.5 - 80}{4} \leq Z \leq \frac{84.5 - 80}{4}\right)

This becomes:

P(6.54Z4.54)=P(1.625Z1.125)P\left(\frac{-6.5}{4} \leq Z \leq \frac{4.5}{4}\right) = P(-1.625 \leq Z \leq 1.125)

Using a Z-table or calculator:

P(Z1.125)0.8697P(Z \leq 1.125) \approx 0.8697 P(Z1.625)0.0524P(Z \leq -1.625) \approx 0.0524

Thus, the probability is:

P(74X84)=0.86970.0524=0.8173P(74 \leq X \leq 84) = 0.8697 - 0.0524 = 0.8173

Your previous answer of 0.8186 is close but slightly off. The correct rounded answer should be approximately 0.8173.

Would you like further clarification or details on this calculation?


Here are five follow-up questions you could consider:

  1. How does the normal approximation to the binomial distribution work?
  2. What happens when you apply a continuity correction in normal approximation?
  3. Can you use other methods to calculate binomial probabilities when nn is large?
  4. What are the differences between the exact binomial probability and the normal approximation?
  5. How can you use technology (like calculators or software) to find binomial probabilities efficiently?

Tip: For large values of nn, it's often practical to use the normal approximation to the binomial distribution to save calculation time.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Binomial Distribution
Normal Approximation
Probability

Formulas

P(X = k) = C(n, k) * p^k * (1-p)^(n-k)
Normal Approximation: μ = np, σ = √(np(1-p))
Z = (X - μ) / σ

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem
Normal Approximation to the Binomial Distribution

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate Level (or advanced high school level)