Math Problem Statement
Question content area top Part 1 A particular intersection in a small town is equipped with a surveillance camera. The number of traffic tickets issued to drivers passing through the intersection follows the Poisson distribution and averages 5.6 per month. a. What is the probability that 5 traffic tickets will be issued at the intersection next month? b. What is the probability that 3 or fewer traffic tickets will be issued at the intersection next month? c. What is the probability that more than 6 traffic tickets will be issued at the intersection next month?
Solution
The number of traffic tickets issued follows a Poisson distribution, where the average number of tickets per month () is 5.6. The probability mass function (PMF) for the Poisson distribution is given by:
where:
- is the average number of events (5.6 in this case),
- is the number of occurrences for which we want to find the probability, and
- is Euler's number ().
Part (a)
We want to find the probability that exactly 5 traffic tickets will be issued. This is .
Part (b)
We want to find the probability that 3 or fewer traffic tickets will be issued. This is , which we compute as:
Each of these probabilities will be calculated using the Poisson formula:
for .
Part (c)
We want to find the probability that more than 6 traffic tickets will be issued. This is , which can be calculated as:
Where can be calculated as:
Let me calculate each part for you.Here are the results for the given Poisson distribution problem:
Part (a)
The probability that exactly 5 traffic tickets will be issued next month is approximately:
Part (b)
The probability that 3 or fewer traffic tickets will be issued next month is approximately:
Part (c)
The probability that more than 6 traffic tickets will be issued next month is approximately:
Let me know if you need more details or further clarifications!
Follow-up questions:
- How does the shape of the Poisson distribution change with varying ?
- Can you calculate the variance and standard deviation for this Poisson distribution?
- What is the expected number of tickets issued in 3 months if the average remains the same?
- How does the Poisson distribution compare to the normal distribution for large ?
- How would the probabilities change if the average number of tickets was 7 instead of 5.6?
Tip:
For small , the Poisson distribution is skewed to the right, but as increases, it begins to resemble a normal distribution.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Probability
Poisson Distribution
Formulas
P(X = k) = (λ^k * e^(-λ)) / k!
P(X ≤ k) = Σ[P(X = i)] for i = 0 to k
P(X > k) = 1 - P(X ≤ k)
Theorems
Poisson Theorem
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 10-12
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