Math Problem Statement
The number of parking tickets issued daily is a Poisson random variable with the rate 10 ticket per day. (a) Find the probability that exactly 5 tickets will be issued in one day (b) Find the probability that less than 5 tickets will be issued in one day (c) Find the probability that exactly 5 tickets will be issued in any two- day period (d) Find the probability that more than 5 tickets will be issued in any two- day period
Solution
We are dealing with a Poisson distribution where the number of parking tickets issued per day is described by a Poisson random variable. The Poisson distribution is characterized by its rate parameter , which represents the average number of occurrences within a fixed interval of time or space. In this case, tickets per day.
The probability mass function (PMF) of a Poisson distribution is given by:
Where:
- is the random variable representing the number of occurrences (in this case, parking tickets issued),
- is the rate (mean) of occurrences,
- is the number of occurrences for which we want to find the probability, and
- is Euler's number (approximately 2.71828).
(a) Find the probability that exactly 5 tickets will be issued in one day.
For one day, the rate tickets/day, and we want the probability of exactly 5 tickets (i.e., ):
Let’s calculate this.
(b) Find the probability that less than 5 tickets will be issued in one day.
The probability of less than 5 tickets being issued means we need to sum the probabilities for 0, 1, 2, 3, and 4 tickets:
Each term can be calculated using the Poisson PMF.
(c) Find the probability that exactly 5 tickets will be issued in any two-day period.
For a two-day period, the rate changes to tickets for two days. Now, we want the probability of exactly 5 tickets (i.e., ) in this two-day period:
(d) Find the probability that more than 5 tickets will be issued in any two-day period.
To find the probability that more than 5 tickets will be issued, we calculate the complement of the probability of 5 or fewer tickets:
Where:
We can now compute each part.
Let me calculate these probabilities for you.Here are the computed probabilities:
(a) The probability that exactly 5 tickets will be issued in one day:
(b) The probability that less than 5 tickets will be issued in one day:
(c) The probability that exactly 5 tickets will be issued in any two-day period:
(d) The probability that more than 5 tickets will be issued in any two-day period:
Let me know if you would like any further clarification or a breakdown of the calculations!
Here are 5 related questions to explore further:
- What is the probability of exactly 10 tickets being issued in a single day?
- How would the probabilities change if the rate increased to 15 tickets per day?
- What is the probability of fewer than 3 tickets being issued in a two-day period?
- What is the expected number of tickets issued over a three-day period?
- How does the standard deviation relate to the Poisson distribution in this case?
Tip: In a Poisson distribution, the mean and the variance are both equal to the rate parameter . This can help in estimating variability!
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Probability
Poisson Distribution
Formulas
Poisson probability mass function: P(X = k) = (λ^k * e^(-λ)) / k!
Complement rule for probabilities: P(X > k) = 1 - P(X ≤ k)
Theorems
Poisson Distribution Theorem
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 11-12
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