Math Problem Statement

Suppose you are interested in testing whether average monthly gasoline expenditure differs from $50 at the 5% significance level. You take a sample of 30 and calculate a sample mean of 51 and sample standard deviation of 12.  Given this information the null and alternative hypotheses are as follows:

H0: μ=50

H1: μ≠50

What is the p-value for this test?   (Round to four decimal places. )

Solution

To calculate the p-value, we will use the t-test since we have a sample standard deviation and not the population standard deviation. Here’s the step-by-step process:

Given Information

  • Null Hypothesis (H0): μ=50\mu = 50
  • Alternative Hypothesis (H1): μ50\mu \neq 50
  • Sample mean (xˉ\bar{x}) = 51
  • Sample size (nn) = 30
  • Sample standard deviation (ss) = 12
  • Significance level (α\alpha) = 0.05

Step 1: Calculate the Test Statistic (t)

The formula for the test statistic tt in this case is: t=xˉμsnt = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu}{\frac{s}{\sqrt{n}}}

Plugging in the values: t=51501230t = \frac{51 - 50}{\frac{12}{\sqrt{30}}}

First, calculate the standard error (sn\frac{s}{\sqrt{n}}): 12302.1909\frac{12}{\sqrt{30}} \approx 2.1909

Then calculate tt: t=12.19090.4564t = \frac{1}{2.1909} \approx 0.4564

Step 2: Determine Degrees of Freedom

The degrees of freedom (dfdf) for this test is n1n - 1, so: df=301=29df = 30 - 1 = 29

Step 3: Find the p-value

With a two-tailed test at t=0.4564t = 0.4564 and df=29df = 29, we can look up the p-value using a t-distribution table or calculator. Using a t-distribution calculator, we find:

p-value0.6514p \text{-value} \approx 0.6514

Answer

The p-value for this test is approximately 0.6514 (rounded to four decimal places).

Since the p-value (0.6514) is greater than the significance level (0.05), we would not reject the null hypothesis. There is not enough evidence to suggest that the average monthly gasoline expenditure differs from $50.

Would you like further details or have any questions?

Here are five related questions to explore:

  1. How would the p-value change if the sample size were larger?
  2. What if the sample mean was higher than 51? How would that affect the result?
  3. How would using a 1% significance level change our conclusion?
  4. Why is a two-tailed test appropriate in this scenario?
  5. What is the difference between a one-tailed and a two-tailed hypothesis test?

Tip: Always check if the test is one-tailed or two-tailed, as it directly affects the interpretation of the p-value.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Hypothesis Testing
t-Test
Statistical Significance
P-Value

Formulas

t = (x̄ - μ) / (s / √n)

Theorems

Student's t-distribution

Suitable Grade Level

College Level