Math Problem Statement

Ten randomly selected cars were filled with either regular or premium gas (the decision was made based on a coin toss) and then driven on the freeway for the entirety of the tank of gas. The next day, each car was filled with whichever type of gas that was not used the previous day and then driven on the freeway for the entirety of the tank of gas. The mileage for each day was recorded and is summarized in the table below.

MPG of 10 cars (regular/premium): 13/19, 20/22, 21/24, 23/25, 22/25, 27/26, 25/26, 27/28, 28/32, 22/24

Solution

To analyze the effect of gas type on mileage, we can perform a paired t-test. Since each car was tested with both regular and premium gas, we can treat this as a paired sample (dependent) test, focusing on the difference in miles per gallon (MPG) for each car.

Step 1: Calculate Differences

For each car, find the difference in MPG when using regular gas versus premium gas: Difference (Premium - Regular)=MPG (Premium)MPG (Regular)\text{Difference (Premium - Regular)} = \text{MPG (Premium)} - \text{MPG (Regular)}

The differences for each car are as follows:

  1. 1913=619 - 13 = 6
  2. 2220=222 - 20 = 2
  3. 2421=324 - 21 = 3
  4. 2523=225 - 23 = 2
  5. 2522=325 - 22 = 3
  6. 2627=126 - 27 = -1
  7. 2625=126 - 25 = 1
  8. 2827=128 - 27 = 1
  9. 3228=432 - 28 = 4
  10. 2422=224 - 22 = 2

Step 2: Calculate the Mean and Standard Deviation of Differences

Let's find the mean and standard deviation of these differences.

  1. Mean of Differences: dˉ=6+2+3+2+31+1+1+4+210=2310=2.3\bar{d} = \frac{6 + 2 + 3 + 2 + 3 - 1 + 1 + 1 + 4 + 2}{10} = \frac{23}{10} = 2.3

  2. Standard Deviation of Differences: To calculate the standard deviation, we use the formula: sd=(didˉ)2n1s_d = \sqrt{\frac{\sum (d_i - \bar{d})^2}{n - 1}} where did_i represents each individual difference, and n=10n = 10.

    Calculating each (didˉ)2(d_i - \bar{d})^2:

    • (62.3)2=13.69(6 - 2.3)^2 = 13.69
    • (22.3)2=0.09(2 - 2.3)^2 = 0.09
    • (32.3)2=0.49(3 - 2.3)^2 = 0.49
    • (22.3)2=0.09(2 - 2.3)^2 = 0.09
    • (32.3)2=0.49(3 - 2.3)^2 = 0.49
    • (12.3)2=10.89(-1 - 2.3)^2 = 10.89
    • (12.3)2=1.69(1 - 2.3)^2 = 1.69
    • (12.3)2=1.69(1 - 2.3)^2 = 1.69
    • (42.3)2=2.89(4 - 2.3)^2 = 2.89
    • (22.3)2=0.09(2 - 2.3)^2 = 0.09

    Summing these: (didˉ)2=32.1\sum (d_i - \bar{d})^2 = 32.1

    Now, calculate sds_d: sd=32.1101=32.191.8856s_d = \sqrt{\frac{32.1}{10 - 1}} = \sqrt{\frac{32.1}{9}} \approx 1.8856

Step 3: Calculate the Test Statistic

The test statistic tt for a paired t-test is calculated as: t=dˉsd/nt = \frac{\bar{d}}{s_d / \sqrt{n}}

Substituting the values: t=2.31.8856/10=2.30.59643.856t = \frac{2.3}{1.8856 / \sqrt{10}} = \frac{2.3}{0.5964} \approx 3.856

Step 4: Determine the Degrees of Freedom and P-value

For a paired t-test, the degrees of freedom df\text{df} is n1n - 1, so here df=9\text{df} = 9.

Using a t-distribution table or calculator, we can find the p-value associated with t=3.856t = 3.856 and df=9\text{df} = 9. This value will be relatively small, likely indicating statistical significance.

Conclusion

If the p-value is less than the chosen significance level (e.g., 0.05), we would reject the null hypothesis and conclude that there is a statistically significant difference in mileage between regular and premium gas, suggesting that premium gas may improve mileage.

Would you like the exact p-value calculation or have any further questions on this?

Related Questions

  1. How would the analysis change if more cars were included in the sample?
  2. What impact does the variance in mileage between cars have on the analysis?
  3. Can we determine if premium gas generally provides better mileage with a larger dataset?
  4. What would be the effect on the t-test if one of the mileage measurements was an outlier?
  5. How does a paired t-test differ from an independent samples t-test?

Tip:

For paired tests, always calculate differences carefully, as small mistakes in differences affect the overall analysis.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Paired t-test
Statistics
Hypothesis Testing
Mean
Standard Deviation
t-Distribution

Formulas

t = (d̄) / (s_d / √n)
d_i = MPG(Premium) - MPG(Regular)
s_d = √(Σ(d_i - d̄)² / (n - 1))

Theorems

Paired t-test for dependent samples
Central Limit Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 11-12, Undergraduate