Math Problem Statement

Give final answer for each part

Assignment 5: Problem 6, involving a normal distribution with mean 64% and standard deviation 10%. Four parts include calculating probabilities and minimum marks based on various criteria.

Solution

The problem involves a normal distribution of final exam grades in an introductory calculus class with a mean μ=64%\mu = 64\% and a standard deviation σ=10%\sigma = 10\%. Let's solve each part using this information.

(a) Probability that a randomly chosen final exam mark will be at least 71%:

We need to calculate P(X71%)P(X \geq 71\%) where XX follows a normal distribution with μ=64%\mu = 64\% and σ=10%\sigma = 10\%.

Step 1: Convert to a z-score using the formula: z=Xμσz = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} z=716410=710=0.7z = \frac{71 - 64}{10} = \frac{7}{10} = 0.7

Step 2: Look up the z-score of 0.7 in a standard normal distribution table (or use a calculator). The cumulative probability for z=0.7z = 0.7 is approximately 0.7580.

Step 3: Since we need P(X71)P(X \geq 71), we subtract the cumulative probability from 1: P(X71)=10.7580=0.2420P(X \geq 71) = 1 - 0.7580 = 0.2420 Answer: 0.2420


(b) Proportion of students who will not pass if the passing mark is 50%:

We are asked to find P(X<50%)P(X < 50\%).

Step 1: Convert to a z-score: z=506410=1410=1.4z = \frac{50 - 64}{10} = \frac{-14}{10} = -1.4

Step 2: The cumulative probability for z=1.4z = -1.4 is approximately 0.0808.

Thus, the proportion of students who will not pass is 0.0808. Answer: 0.0808


(c) Minimum final exam mark needed for the top 3% to earn an A:

We need to find the value of XX such that P(XXA)=0.03P(X \geq X_A) = 0.03, or equivalently, P(XXA)=0.97P(X \leq X_A) = 0.97.

Step 1: Look up the z-score corresponding to the cumulative probability of 0.97. This gives z1.88z \approx 1.88.

Step 2: Convert the z-score back to the original exam score: XA=μ+zσ=64+1.8810=64+18.8=82.8X_A = \mu + z \cdot \sigma = 64 + 1.88 \cdot 10 = 64 + 18.8 = 82.8 Thus, the minimum score needed for an A is 82.8%. Answer: 82.80%


(d) Probability that 5 out of 26 exams have a grade of less than 50%:

This follows a binomial distribution with n=26n = 26, p=P(X<50%)=0.0808p = P(X < 50\%) = 0.0808 (from part b), and we are looking for P(X=5)P(X = 5).

The binomial probability formula is: P(X=k)=(nk)pk(1p)nkP(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1 - p)^{n - k} Substitute n=26n = 26, k=5k = 5, and p=0.0808p = 0.0808: P(X=5)=(265)(0.0808)5(10.0808)21P(X = 5) = \binom{26}{5} (0.0808)^5 (1 - 0.0808)^{21} Using a calculator or software, this gives approximately 0.0022.

Answer: 0.0022


Let me know if you need more details on any part! Here are some follow-up questions you could consider:

  1. How can you interpret z-scores in a normal distribution?
  2. Why do we subtract from 1 when calculating probabilities for "at least" questions?
  3. Can you describe the difference between binomial and normal distributions?
  4. How do you find critical values for different percentages in a normal distribution?
  5. What real-world examples can you think of where normal distributions are applied?

Tip: Always remember that probabilities in a normal distribution are cumulative—this is why we often use tables or software to calculate the areas under the curve.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Normal Distribution
Z-scores
Binomial Distribution
Probability

Formulas

Z-score formula: z = (X - μ) / σ
Cumulative Probability from Z-table
Binomial probability formula: P(X = k) = (n choose k) * p^k * (1 - p)^(n - k)

Theorems

Properties of Normal Distribution
Binomial Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

University-level Statistics