Math Problem Statement

solve all

Solve all parts of the problem involving the probability, proportion, and percentile for a normally distributed set of exam scores.

Solution

Let's solve each part of this problem step-by-step:

Given Information:

  • Mean score (μ\mu) = 64%
  • Standard deviation (σ\sigma) = 5%
  • The distribution of scores is normal.

Part (a)

Question: What is the probability that a randomly chosen person who is writing this SOA exam will score at most 66%?

To find this probability, we need to calculate the Z-score for 66%.

  1. Calculate the Z-score: Z=Xμσ=66645=25=0.4Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} = \frac{66 - 64}{5} = \frac{2}{5} = 0.4

  2. Find the Probability: Using the Z-score of 0.4, we look up the cumulative probability in a Z-table or use statistical software. The cumulative probability for Z=0.4Z = 0.4 is approximately 0.6554.

Answer to (a): 0.6554


Part (b)

Question: What proportion of all people writing this SOA exam will score between 74% and 83%?

To find this proportion, we calculate the Z-scores for both 74% and 83%, then find the probability between them.

  1. Calculate the Z-score for 74%: Z=74645=105=2.0Z = \frac{74 - 64}{5} = \frac{10}{5} = 2.0

  2. Calculate the Z-score for 83%: Z=83645=195=3.8Z = \frac{83 - 64}{5} = \frac{19}{5} = 3.8

  3. Find the Probability:

    • For Z=2.0Z = 2.0, the cumulative probability is approximately 0.9772.
    • For Z=3.8Z = 3.8, the cumulative probability is almost 1.0000.
  4. Calculate the Proportion: Proportion=1.00000.9772=0.0228\text{Proportion} = 1.0000 - 0.9772 = 0.0228

Answer to (b): 0.0228


Part (c)

Question: What is the 36th percentile score for this exam?

The 36th percentile score corresponds to the score below which 36% of the exam scores fall.

  1. Find the Z-score for the 36th Percentile: The Z-score corresponding to the 36th percentile is approximately -0.36 (from Z-tables or statistical software).

  2. Convert Z-score to Original Score: X=μ+Zσ=64+(0.36)5=641.8=62.2X = \mu + Z \cdot \sigma = 64 + (-0.36) \cdot 5 = 64 - 1.8 = 62.2

Answer to (c): 62.2%


Summary of Answers:

  • (a): 0.6554
  • (b): 0.0228
  • (c): 62.2%

Would you like more details or have any questions about these steps?


Additional Related Questions:

  1. How would the answers change if the standard deviation were 6% instead of 5%?
  2. What is the probability that a student scores more than 70%?
  3. What score corresponds to the 90th percentile?
  4. If the mean score shifted to 65%, how would that affect the probability in part (a)?
  5. What is the probability of scoring between 60% and 68%?

Tip:

In normal distribution problems, using Z-scores simplifies finding probabilities and percentiles across different datasets.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Normal Distribution
Percentiles

Formulas

Z-score formula: Z = (X - μ) / σ
Cumulative probability using Z-score
Percentile calculation based on Z-score

Theorems

Properties of Normal Distribution

Suitable Grade Level

College/University Level