Math Problem Statement

The table below gives the list price and the number of bids received for five randomly selected items sold through online auctions. Using this data, consider the equation of the regression line, yˆ=b0+b1x , for predicting the number of bids an item will receive based on the list price. Keep in mind, the correlation coefficient may or may not be statistically significant for the data given. Remember, in practice, it would not be appropriate to use the regression line to make a prediction if the correlation coefficient is not statistically significant.

Price in Dollars 21 27 31 43 49 Number of Bids 4 6 7 8 9 Table

Step 2 of 6 : Find the estimated y-intercept. Round your answer to three decimal places.

Solution

To find the estimated y-intercept (b0b_0) of the regression line, we need to use the formula:

b0=yˉb1xˉb_0 = \bar{y} - b_1 \bar{x}

Where:

  • yˉ\bar{y} is the mean of the yy-values (number of bids),
  • xˉ\bar{x} is the mean of the xx-values (list price),
  • b1b_1 is the slope of the regression line.

Step 1: Calculate the means

We have the following data:

  • Prices (x): 21, 27, 31, 43, 49
  • Number of Bids (y): 4, 6, 7, 8, 9

First, calculate the mean of xx (price) and the mean of yy (number of bids).

xˉ=21+27+31+43+495=1715=34.2\bar{x} = \frac{21 + 27 + 31 + 43 + 49}{5} = \frac{171}{5} = 34.2 yˉ=4+6+7+8+95=345=6.8\bar{y} = \frac{4 + 6 + 7 + 8 + 9}{5} = \frac{34}{5} = 6.8

Step 2: Calculate the slope (b1b_1)

To calculate the slope (b1b_1), we use the formula:

b1=(xixˉ)(yiyˉ)(xixˉ)2b_1 = \frac{\sum (x_i - \bar{x})(y_i - \bar{y})}{\sum (x_i - \bar{x})^2}

Let's calculate the necessary terms:

xix_iyiy_ixixˉx_i - \bar{x}yiyˉy_i - \bar{y}(xixˉ)(yiyˉ)(x_i - \bar{x})(y_i - \bar{y})(xixˉ)2(x_i - \bar{x})^2
21421 - 34.2 = -13.24 - 6.8 = -2.8(-13.2)(-2.8) = 36.96(-13.2)^2 = 174.24
27627 - 34.2 = -7.26 - 6.8 = -0.8(-7.2)(-0.8) = 5.76(-7.2)^2 = 51.84
31731 - 34.2 = -3.27 - 6.8 = 0.2(-3.2)(0.2) = -0.64(-3.2)^2 = 10.24
43843 - 34.2 = 8.88 - 6.8 = 1.2(8.8)(1.2) = 10.56(8.8)^2 = 77.44
49949 - 34.2 = 14.89 - 6.8 = 2.2(14.8)(2.2) = 32.56(14.8)^2 = 219.04

Now, we can calculate the sums:

(xixˉ)(yiyˉ)=36.96+5.760.64+10.56+32.56=84.2\sum (x_i - \bar{x})(y_i - \bar{y}) = 36.96 + 5.76 - 0.64 + 10.56 + 32.56 = 84.2 (xixˉ)2=174.24+51.84+10.24+77.44+219.04=532.8\sum (x_i - \bar{x})^2 = 174.24 + 51.84 + 10.24 + 77.44 + 219.04 = 532.8

Now, we can calculate b1b_1:

b1=84.2532.80.158b_1 = \frac{84.2}{532.8} \approx 0.158

Step 3: Calculate the y-intercept (b0b_0)

Now that we know b1b_1 and the means xˉ\bar{x} and yˉ\bar{y}, we can substitute into the equation for b0b_0:

b0=yˉb1xˉb_0 = \bar{y} - b_1 \bar{x} b0=6.8(0.158×34.2)b_0 = 6.8 - (0.158 \times 34.2) b0=6.85.4=1.4b_0 = 6.8 - 5.4 = 1.4

Final Answer:

The estimated y-intercept is 1.400\mathbf{1.400} (rounded to three decimal places).

Would you like to proceed with the next steps or need further details? Here are some questions that can expand on this:

  1. How do you calculate the slope b1b_1 for a regression line in general?
  2. What are the potential limitations of using the regression line for predictions?
  3. How would you interpret the regression line equation once we have b0b_0 and b1b_1?
  4. What are the assumptions made when using linear regression for predictions?
  5. Can the y-intercept have a real-world meaning in this case?

Tip: Always check the correlation coefficient and the significance level before using a regression model for predictions, as it helps ensure reliability.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Linear Regression
Statistics
Slope and Intercept

Formulas

b0 = ȳ - b1 * x̄
b1 = Σ(xi - x̄)(yi - ȳ) / Σ(xi - x̄)²

Theorems

Least Squares Regression

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 11-12