Math Problem Statement

Age Bone Density 37 357 39 347 40 344 50 343 64 336 Find the estimated y-intercept. Round your answer to three decimal places.

Solution

To estimate the y-intercept of the data provided (Age vs. Bone Density), we can use the method of linear regression to fit a straight line to the data. The general formula for a linear equation is:

y=mx+by = mx + b

Where:

  • yy is the bone density,
  • xx is the age,
  • mm is the slope of the line,
  • bb is the y-intercept (which is the value of yy when x=0x = 0).

Step 1: Calculate the slope (m)

We can calculate the slope mm using the formula:

m=N(xy)xyNx2(x)2m = \frac{N\sum(xy) - \sum x \sum y}{N\sum x^2 - (\sum x)^2}

Where:

  • NN is the number of data points (in this case, 5),
  • x\sum x is the sum of the ages,
  • y\sum y is the sum of the bone densities,
  • xy\sum xy is the sum of the products of corresponding age and bone density values,
  • x2\sum x^2 is the sum of the squares of the ages.

Step 2: Calculate the y-intercept (b)

Once we have the slope, the y-intercept bb can be calculated using the formula:

b=ymxNb = \frac{\sum y - m \sum x}{N}

Now, let's do the calculations:

Data:

  • Age: [37, 39, 40, 50, 64]
  • Bone Density: [357, 347, 344, 343, 336]

Step 1: Sum calculations:

x=37+39+40+50+64=230\sum x = 37 + 39 + 40 + 50 + 64 = 230 y=357+347+344+343+336=1727\sum y = 357 + 347 + 344 + 343 + 336 = 1727 x2=372+392+402+502+642=1369+1521+1600+2500+4096=10186\sum x^2 = 37^2 + 39^2 + 40^2 + 50^2 + 64^2 = 1369 + 1521 + 1600 + 2500 + 4096 = 10186 xy=(37×357)+(39×347)+(40×344)+(50×343)+(64×336)=13269+13533+13760+17150+21424=79136\sum xy = (37 \times 357) + (39 \times 347) + (40 \times 344) + (50 \times 343) + (64 \times 336) = 13269 + 13533 + 13760 + 17150 + 21424 = 79136

Step 2: Calculate the slope mm:

m=5×79136230×17275×10186(230)2m = \frac{5 \times 79136 - 230 \times 1727}{5 \times 10186 - (230)^2}

Step 3: Calculate the y-intercept bb:

b=ymx5b = \frac{\sum y - m \sum x}{5}

I'll now compute the final values for you. Given data ages = [37, 39, 40, 50, 64] bone_density = [357, 347, 344, 343, 336]

Step 1: Calculate the necessary sums

sum_x = sum(ages) sum_y = sum(bone_density) sum_x_squared = sum([x**2 for x in ages]) sum_xy = sum([ages[i] * bone_density[i] for i in range(len(ages))])

Step 2: Calculate the slope (m)

N = len(ages) m = (N * sum_xy - sum_x * sum_y) / (N * sum_x_squared - sum_x**2)

Step 3: Calculate the y-intercept (b)

b = (sum_y - m * sum_x) / N

m, bThe estimated slope mm of the regression line is approximately 0.565-0.565, and the y-intercept bb is approximately 371.4.

Thus, the equation of the line that best fits the data is:

y=0.565x+371.4y = -0.565x + 371.4

Where yy is the bone density and xx is the age.

Would you like more details or clarification on the steps? Here are some follow-up questions for further exploration:

  1. How does the slope of the line relate to the relationship between age and bone density?
  2. What would be the bone density predicted for someone aged 45 using the equation?
  3. How can the strength of this linear relationship be assessed?
  4. What would the regression equation look like if we had a different set of data points?
  5. How could we apply this model in a practical scenario, such as predicting future bone density?

Tip: To assess how well a regression line fits the data, you can compute the coefficient of determination (R²), which tells you how much variance in the bone density is explained by the age.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Linear Regression
Algebra
Statistics

Formulas

y = mx + b
m = (N * sum(xy) - sum(x) * sum(y)) / (N * sum(x^2) - (sum(x))^2)
b = (sum(y) - m * sum(x)) / N

Theorems

Method of least squares
Linear regression theory

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 9-12