Math Problem Statement

. Consider the following sample of production volumes and total cost data for a manufacturing operation.

Production Volume (units)Total Cost ($)

400

4,000

450

5,100

550

5,500

600

5,800

700

6,500

750

6,900

(a)

Use these data to develop an estimated regression equation that could be used to predict the total cost for a given production volume. (Round your numerical values to two decimal places.)

Solution

To develop the estimated regression equation, we will use the least squares regression method to find the relationship between the production volume (xx) and the total cost (yy). The regression equation is of the form:

y=b0+b1xy = b_0 + b_1x

Where:

  • b1b_1 (slope) represents the change in total cost for each unit increase in production.
  • b0b_0 (intercept) represents the total cost when production volume is zero.

Step 1: Calculate b1b_1 (Slope)

The slope b1b_1 is calculated as: b1=n(xy)xynx2(x)2b_1 = \frac{n\sum(xy) - \sum x \sum y}{n\sum x^2 - (\sum x)^2}

Step 2: Calculate b0b_0 (Intercept)

The intercept b0b_0 is calculated as: b0=yˉb1xˉb_0 = \bar{y} - b_1\bar{x}

Where:

  • nn = number of data points
  • xˉ\bar{x} and yˉ\bar{y} are the means of xx and yy
  • x\sum x, y\sum y, x2\sum x^2, and xy\sum xy are sums derived from the data.

Data Summary Table

xx (Production Volume)yy (Total Cost)x2x^2xyxy
4004000160,000160,0001,600,0001,600,000
4505100202,500202,5002,295,0002,295,000
5505500302,500302,5003,025,0003,025,000
6005800360,000360,0003,480,0003,480,000
7006500490,000490,0004,550,0004,550,000
7506900562,500562,5005,175,0005,175,000

Step 3: Calculate Required Sums

x=400+450+550+600+700+750=3450\sum x = 400 + 450 + 550 + 600 + 700 + 750 = 3450 y=4000+5100+5500+5800+6500+6900=33,300\sum y = 4000 + 5100 + 5500 + 5800 + 6500 + 6900 = 33,300 x2=160,000+202,500+302,500+360,000+490,000+562,500=2,077,500\sum x^2 = 160,000 + 202,500 + 302,500 + 360,000 + 490,000 + 562,500 = 2,077,500 xy=1,600,000+2,295,000+3,025,000+3,480,000+4,550,000+5,175,000=20,125,000\sum xy = 1,600,000 + 2,295,000 + 3,025,000 + 3,480,000 + 4,550,000 + 5,175,000 = 20,125,000 n=6n = 6

Step 4: Compute b1b_1 and b0b_0

b1=6(20,125,000)(3450)(33,300)6(2,077,500)(3450)2b_1 = \frac{6(20,125,000) - (3450)(33,300)}{6(2,077,500) - (3450)^2} b1=120,750,000114,885,00012,465,00011,902,500=5,865,000562,500=10.42b_1 = \frac{120,750,000 - 114,885,000}{12,465,000 - 11,902,500} = \frac{5,865,000}{562,500} = 10.42

b0=33,300610.4234506b_0 = \frac{33,300}{6} - 10.42 \cdot \frac{3450}{6} b0=555010.42575=55505986.5=436.5b_0 = 5550 - 10.42 \cdot 575 = 5550 - 5986.5 = -436.5

Step 5: Regression Equation

Estimated regression equation: y=436.5+10.42x\text{Estimated regression equation: } y = -436.5 + 10.42x

Final Answer:

y=436.5+10.42xy = -436.5 + 10.42x

Would you like a detailed explanation of any part of this process?


5 Related Questions:

  1. How do we interpret the slope (b1b_1) in this regression equation?
  2. What are the assumptions of linear regression?
  3. How can we compute the goodness-of-fit (R-squared) for this model?
  4. How would predictions be made for a production volume of 800 units?
  5. What are potential limitations of this regression model?

Tip: Always visualize your data with a scatter plot before applying regression to verify the relationship is linear.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Linear Regression
Statistics
Data Analysis

Formulas

b1 = (nΣ(xy) - ΣxΣy) / (nΣ(x^2) - (Σx)^2)
b0 = ȳ - b1x̄
Regression Equation: y = b0 + b1x

Theorems

Least Squares Regression

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12 or College Level