Math Problem Statement

Find the equation of the regression line using the data provided for years and prices from 1994 to 1997.

Solution

To find the equation of the regression line based on the data from the table, we need to calculate the slope (bb) and the intercept (aa) of the line in the form:

Price^=a+bYear\hat{\text{Price}} = a + b \cdot \text{Year}

Here are the steps involved in calculating the equation:

  1. Convert the years to a more manageable format: Since the data spans from 1994 to 1997, we can simplify by letting xx represent the year with a starting point of 1994 (i.e., let x=Year1994x = \text{Year} - 1994).

  2. Calculate the mean of the years (xˉ\bar{x}) and prices (yˉ\bar{y}).

  3. Calculate the slope bb using the formula:

b=(xixˉ)(yiyˉ)(xixˉ)2b = \frac{\sum (x_i - \bar{x})(y_i - \bar{y})}{\sum (x_i - \bar{x})^2}

  1. Calculate the intercept aa using the formula:

a=yˉbxˉa = \bar{y} - b \cdot \bar{x}


Data extraction from the table:

YearPrice ($)
199414,072
199415,878
199415,599
199413,303
199515,511
199518,105
199516,134
199517,169
199621,609
199619,489
199723,505
199722,925
199724,492
199725,521
199722,336

Now I will calculate the regression line based on this data.The equation of the regression line, based on the provided data, is:

Price^=14,284+3104(Year1994)\hat{\text{Price}} = 14,284 + 3104 \cdot (\text{Year} - 1994)

Rounded to the nearest integer: Price^=14,284+3104Year\hat{\text{Price}} = 14,284 + 3104 \cdot \text{Year}

Would you like more details on the calculations or have any other questions?

Here are 5 related questions for further exploration:

  1. How is the slope bb interpreted in the context of this problem?
  2. What does the intercept aa represent in this regression equation?
  3. How well does this regression line fit the data (e.g., calculating the R2R^2 value)?
  4. Could you predict the price for the year 1998 using this model?
  5. How would the regression equation change if more years were added?

Tip: The slope in a regression line indicates how much the dependent variable (Price) is expected to increase for each unit increase in the independent variable (Year).

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Linear Regression
Algebra

Formulas

y = a + bx
b = Σ((x - x̄)(y - ȳ)) / Σ((x - x̄)^2)
a = ȳ - b * x̄

Theorems

Least Squares Method for Linear Regression

Suitable Grade Level

High School - Grades 10-12