Math Problem Statement
The table below shows the value, V, of an investment (in dollars) n years after 1991.
n
1
3
7
12
14
19
V(n)
14393
13503.42
12551
11346.48
10402
8423.65
Determine the linear regression equation that models the set of data above, and use this equation to answer the questions below. Round to the nearest hundredth as needed.
Based on this regression model, the value of this investment was $ in the year 1991.
Based on the regression model, the value of this investment is Select an answer decreasing increasing at a rate of $ per year.
Solution
To find the linear regression equation that models the set of data, we need to calculate the best-fit line in the form:
where:
- is the value of the investment,
- is the number of years after 1991,
- is the slope of the line (which shows the rate of change),
- is the y-intercept (which represents the value of the investment in 1991, when ).
Step 1: Gather Data Points
The data points from the table are as follows (with as the number of years since 1991):
Step 2: Calculate the Linear Regression Equation
To compute the linear regression equation, we need to calculate the slope and the y-intercept . These can be computed using formulas for the slope and intercept of a line based on the least-squares method:
To simplify, I'll perform the calculations to find the slope and intercept for you.
Step 3: Interpret Results
- The y-intercept will give the value of the investment in 1991.
- The slope will tell us whether the investment is increasing or decreasing and at what rate per year.
Let me calculate this for you.The linear regression equation that models the data is:
Interpretation:
-
The value of the investment in 1991 (when ):
- The y-intercept is , so the value of the investment in 1991 was approximately $14,700.50.
-
Rate of change:
- The slope indicates that the investment is decreasing at a rate of approximately $313.99 per year.
Would you like further details or have any questions?
Related Questions:
- How can the model be used to predict the investment value in future years?
- Can we determine when the investment might reach zero based on this model?
- How reliable is the linear model for long-term predictions?
- Is there any way to check the accuracy of the regression model?
- Could this model be extended to cover nonlinear trends in the data?
Tip:
Always check the context when using linear regression, as real-world investments might not follow a strictly linear pattern over long periods.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Linear Regression
Algebra
Statistics
Formulas
Linear regression formula: V(n) = mn + b
Slope formula: m = (n * Σ(n_i * V_i) - (Σ n_i)(Σ V_i)) / (n * Σ n_i^2 - (Σ n_i)^2)
Y-intercept formula: b = (Σ V_i - m Σ n_i) / n
Theorems
Least-Squares Method
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 11-12