Math Problem Statement

Consider the data in the table on the right showing the average life expectancy of women in various years. Note that x represents the actual year. ​a) Find the regression​ line, y equals mx plus b. ​b) Use the regression line to predict the life expectancy of women in 2007. ​Year, x Life expectancy of​ women, y​ (years) 1950 71.6 1960 72.4 1970 75.8 1980 76.6 1990 78.4 2000 81.6 2005 82.4

Question content area bottom Part 1 ​a) yequals    enter your response here ​(Simplify your answer. Round to five decimal places as​ needed.) Part 2 ​b) In​ 2007, the life expectancy of women will be    enter your response here years. ​(Simplify your answer. Round to one decimal place as​ needed.)

Solution

numpy as np from sklearn.linear_model import LinearRegression

Data

years = np.array([1950, 1960, 1970, 1980, 1990, 2000, 2005]).reshape(-1, 1) life_expectancy = np.array([71.6, 72.4, 75.8, 76.6, 78.4, 81.6, 82.4])

Fit linear regression model

model = LinearRegression() model.fit(years, life_expectancy)

Regression line equation: y = mx + b

m = model.coef_[0] # slope b = model.intercept_ # y-intercept

Predict life expectancy for 2007

prediction_2007 = model.predict([[2007]])[0]

m, b, prediction_2007### Part 1: Regression Line The regression line equation is:

y=0.20102x320.90425y = 0.20102x - 320.90425

(Simplified to five decimal places).

Part 2: Prediction for 2007

Using the regression line, the predicted life expectancy of women in 2007 is approximately:

82.5years82.5 \, \text{years}

(Simplified to one decimal place).

Would you like further details or have any questions? Here are 5 related questions:

  1. How is the regression line derived from the data?
  2. Why is linear regression appropriate for this dataset?
  3. What other methods could we use to predict life expectancy trends?
  4. How accurate is this prediction likely to be, given the data?
  5. Could we use this model to predict life expectancy far into the future?

Tip: Always ensure the range of your predictions lies within the limits of your data to maintain reliability.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Linear Regression
Algebra
Data Analysis

Formulas

Linear equation y = mx + b
Slope formula m = (y2 - y1) / (x2 - x1)

Theorems

Least Squares Method

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12