Math Problem Statement
Fit a regression line to the data shown in the chart, and find the coefficient of correlation for the line. Use the regression line to predict life expectancy in the year 2010, where x is the number of decades after 1900. year, x 0 (1900) 2 (1920) 4 (1940) 6 (1960) 8 (1980) life expectancy, y 47.3 years 49.6 years 51.2 years 52.4 years 53.4 years Question content area bottom Part 1 Choose the correct regression line below. A.y equals 0.750 x minus 47.78 y equals 0.750 x minus 47.78 B.y equals 47.78 x plus 0.750 y equals 47.78 x plus 0.750 C.y equals 47.78 y equals 47.78 D.y equals 0.750 x plus 47.78 y equals 0.750 x plus 47.78 Your answer is correct. Part 2 The coefficient of correlation is 0.985. (Round to three decimal places as needed.) Part 3 The life expectancy in the year 2010 is 55. (Round to one decimal place as needed.)
Solution
Let's break down the problem into the three main parts:
Part 1: Regression Line
You are given two sets of data points:
- Year (x): 0 (1900), 2 (1920), 4 (1940), 6 (1960), 8 (1980)
- Life Expectancy (y): 47.3, 49.6, 51.2, 52.4, 53.4
The correct regression line is calculated as:
Thus, the correct option is D.
Part 2: Coefficient of Correlation (r)
The coefficient of correlation measures how well the regression line fits the data. It is given as:
This indicates a very strong positive correlation between the number of decades since 1900 and life expectancy.
Part 3: Predict Life Expectancy in 2010
The year 2010 corresponds to (since it is 11 decades after 1900). Using the regression line equation:
Substituting :
Rounding to one decimal place, the predicted life expectancy in 2010 is approximately 56.0 years.
Summary:
- The correct regression line is: .
- The coefficient of correlation is 0.985.
- The predicted life expectancy for the year 2010 is 56.0 years.
Would you like to go into further details on how these calculations are performed?
Here are 5 related questions to extend your understanding:
- How do you calculate the slope (m) of a regression line?
- What does the coefficient of correlation tell us about data trends?
- How can the equation of the regression line be used for future predictions?
- What happens if the correlation is negative?
- How is the coefficient of determination (r²) related to the correlation?
Tip: The closer the correlation coefficient is to 1 or -1, the better the data fits a straight line.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Linear Regression
Correlation
Prediction using a Regression Line
Formulas
Regression Line: y = mx + b
Correlation Coefficient (r)
Prediction Formula: Use regression line to predict y for a given x
Theorems
Least Squares Method for Regression
Pearson's Correlation Coefficient
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 10-12