Math Problem Statement
Housing Costs at the Turn of the Century The following table shows the average price of a two-bedroom apartment in a downtown area from 1994 to 2004 (t = 0 represents 1994). Year t 0 2 4 6 8 10 Price p ($ million) 0.68 0.70 0.90 1.25 1.50 1.90 (a) Use technology to obtain the linear regression line and correlation coefficient r, with all coefficients rounded to two decimal places. p(t) =
Correct: Your answer is correct. That's it! r = 0.97
Correct: Your answer is correct. Great work! Plot the regression line and the given points.
(b) Does the graph suggest that a nonlinear relationship between t and p would be more appropriate than a linear one? Why? Yes, the first and last points lie above the regression line, while the central points lie below it, suggesting a nonlinear relationship. No, the points appear to be randomly scattered about the regression line which does not imply a nonlinear relationship. Correct: Your answer is correct. Nice! (c) Use technology to obtain the residuals. (Round your answers to two decimal places.) Year t Residual 0 0.16
Correct: Your answer is correct. That's it! 2 -0.08
Correct: Your answer is correct. Fantastic job! 4 -0.13
Correct: Your answer is correct. That's right! 6
Incorrect: Your answer is incorrect. 8
Incorrect: Your answer is incorrect. 10
Incorrect: Your answer is incorrect. What can you say about the residuals in support of the claim in part (b)? The residuals are positive at first, become negative, and then become positive, confirming the impression from the graph. The residuals vary from positive to negative with no observable pattern, confirming the impression from the graph.
Solution
Let's break this down step-by-step.
(a) Linear Regression and Correlation Coefficient:
Given the data points:
- (years since 1994):
- (price in million dollars):
We have already done the linear regression, and based on your provided results:
- The linear regression line is .
- The correlation coefficient , indicating a strong positive linear relationship.
(b) Graph Suggestion for Nonlinear Relationship:
From the provided description, the graph does not strongly suggest a nonlinear relationship because:
- The points are mostly scattered around the regression line.
- There’s no clear curving pattern that would indicate that the relationship between and is nonlinear.
Thus, the correct conclusion would be: No, the points appear to be randomly scattered about the regression line, which does not imply a nonlinear relationship.
(c) Residuals:
The residuals are the differences between the observed values and the predicted values from the regression line.
The residual for each year is calculated as: For each year, after applying the regression equation, the residuals are calculated as:
- For : Predicted , so Residual =
- For : Predicted , so Residual =
- For : Predicted , so Residual =
- For : Predicted , so Residual =
- For : Predicted , so Residual =
- For : Predicted , so Residual =
Conclusion on Residuals:
- The residuals do not display a simple increasing or decreasing pattern, which suggests that while the linear model provides a good fit, there may be some fluctuations indicating that a nonlinear model could better fit the data in some cases.
- However, the residuals do not show any strong indication of curvature, so a nonlinear model is not necessarily required.
Final Answer:
The residuals are negative across the board, showing some deviation, but not suggesting a strong nonlinear pattern.
Let me know if you need more clarification or details on any part! Here are some additional questions that could help expand on this topic:
- How do you interpret the value of the correlation coefficient in a real-world context?
- What would be the implication if the correlation coefficient was much lower (e.g., 0.2)?
- How would the residuals change if a different regression model (e.g., quadratic) was used?
- What does it mean for a model to be "a good fit" in terms of residuals?
- How might you visually determine the appropriateness of a nonlinear model by looking at the residual plot?
Tip: A residual plot is often the best way to check for nonlinearity. If the points in the residual plot form a clear pattern (e.g., curve), then a nonlinear model might be needed.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Linear Regression
Correlation Coefficient
Residuals
Formulas
Linear regression equation p(t) = at + b
Correlation coefficient r = Σ[(xi - x̄)(yi - ȳ)] / √[Σ(xi - x̄)² Σ(yi - ȳ)²]
Theorems
Least Squares Regression
Properties of Correlation Coefficients
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 11-12