Math Problem Statement
Solution
The question in the image seems to be asking whether a 3¢ cost to play a game involving tossing 3 fair coins is a fair price, based on expected winnings. The payouts for the game are structured as follows:
- 9¢ for 3 heads,
- 3¢ for 2 heads,
- 1¢ for 1 head.
We need to calculate the expected winnings and compare them to the 3¢ cost to determine if it's a fair price to pay.
Step 1: Probabilities of Each Outcome
For tossing 3 fair coins, the outcomes can be summarized using binomial probabilities:
- Probability of 3 heads: (since there is only 1 way to get all 3 heads out of 8 total outcomes),
- Probability of 2 heads: (since there are 3 ways to get exactly 2 heads),
- Probability of 1 head: (since there are 3 ways to get exactly 1 head),
- Probability of 0 heads: , but since there is no payout for 0 heads, we ignore this case for calculating the expected value.
Step 2: Expected Value Calculation
The expected value (EV) is the sum of each outcome's value multiplied by its probability. So, the EV is:
Simplifying this:
Step 3: Conclusion
The expected winnings are 2.625¢. Since the cost to play is 3¢, which is higher than the expected value, the game is not fair. A fair price to pay would be equal to the expected winnings, which is 2.625¢.
Would you like more details on any part of this explanation?
Here are 5 related questions to expand on this:
- What does "fair price" mean in terms of expected value in probability theory?
- How do you calculate probabilities using binomial distributions?
- What are other ways to adjust the game to make it fair?
- Can we apply the same principles to other types of games or bets?
- How does the law of large numbers relate to the concept of fairness in games?
Tip: When evaluating fairness in games, always compare the expected value with the cost to play. If the cost exceeds the expected value, the game is unfavorable for the player.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Probability
Expected Value
Formulas
Expected value formula: EV = Σ(probability × payout)
Theorems
Expected value theorem
Binomial distribution
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 8-10