Math Problem Statement
Test the hypothesis that the population mean bail (mu) is 50.
To do that with Rcmdr/EZR, go to: Statistical analysis -> Continuous variables -> Single sample t-test , choose the variable, and enter your H0 and H1.
Set alpha (α) = 0.05.
Test statistic = 1.968376 Correct
df (if not applicable, put 0) = 21 Correct
What type of test statistic is this?
t Correct
p-value = 0.06236669 Correct
Decision: Fail to reject H0 Correct
We are 95% confident that the population parameter is somewhere in the interval: 22 Incorrect < μ < 50 Incorrect
What does all this tell us, in plain English? Is it reasonable to conclude that the population mean is $50? yes Correct
Could we have made a Type I error, or a Type II error, or is it impossible that we made any error at all (neither)? can you answer the part where it says "We are 95% confident that the population parameter is somewhere in the interval:"
Solution
To determine the confidence interval for the population mean (μ) based on your test results, we need to use the t-distribution because you're conducting a single sample t-test.
Given your information:
- Test statistic (t) = 1.968376
- Degrees of freedom (df) = 21
- p-value = 0.06236669
- Significance level (α) = 0.05
Confidence Interval Calculation
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Find the critical t-value: For a 95% confidence interval and 21 degrees of freedom, look up the critical t-value. This is approximately ±2.080 (you can use a t-table or statistical software).
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Calculate the standard error (SE): If you have the sample standard deviation (s) and sample size (n), you can calculate SE using:
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Calculate the margin of error (ME):
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Construct the confidence interval: Where is the sample mean.
Interpretation
With a confidence interval, we are stating that we are 95% confident that the true population mean (μ) lies within the calculated interval. If the interval does not include $50, it suggests that the population mean could be different from this value.
Your Statement
Since you mentioned the interval as "22 < μ < 50" but labeled it incorrect, you will need to correctly calculate the confidence interval based on the sample data.
Conclusion
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Is it reasonable to conclude that the population mean is $50? Yes, since we fail to reject H0, it's reasonable, but it's still uncertain based on the confidence interval.
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Type of error: Since you failed to reject H0, a Type I error (rejecting a true null hypothesis) is not applicable. However, a Type II error (failing to reject a false null hypothesis) could be possible, given that the p-value is close to the significance level.
Questions for Further Exploration
- What is the sample size (n) and sample standard deviation (s) used in your test?
- Can you provide the sample mean () to calculate the confidence interval accurately?
- How would you interpret a confidence interval that includes $50 versus one that does not?
- What are the implications of failing to reject H0 in your analysis?
- How would the results change if you had set a different significance level (e.g., α = 0.01)?
Tip
Always verify your calculations for the confidence interval, as it can provide critical insights into the validity of your hypothesis testing results.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Hypothesis Testing
Confidence Interval
Single Sample t-test
Statistical Significance
Type I and Type II Errors
Formulas
t = (x̄ - μ) / (s / √n)
Confidence Interval = x̄ ± t* × SE
Standard Error (SE) = s / √n
Theorems
Central Limit Theorem
t-Distribution Properties
Suitable Grade Level
Undergraduate Statistics
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