Math Problem Statement

Suppose that f(x) = e −x for x ≥ 0 is a PDF of a distribution. Determine the following: (a) P(X > 1) (b) P(1 < X < 2.5) (c) P(X = 3) (d) P(X < 4) (e) a > 0 such that P(X ≥ a) = 0.10

Solution

Given the probability density function (PDF) f(x)=exf(x) = e^{-x} for x0x \geq 0, we are dealing with an exponential distribution with parameter λ=1\lambda = 1, since f(x)=λeλxf(x) = \lambda e^{-\lambda x} is the general form of an exponential distribution. Here, λ=1\lambda = 1.

For an exponential distribution with parameter λ=1\lambda = 1, the cumulative distribution function (CDF) is:

F(x)=1exF(x) = 1 - e^{-x}

Now, let's calculate each part.


(a) P(X>1)P(X > 1)

We can compute this as:

P(X>1)=1P(X1)=1F(1)P(X > 1) = 1 - P(X \leq 1) = 1 - F(1)

F(1)=1e1F(1) = 1 - e^{-1}

So,

P(X>1)=e1P(X > 1) = e^{-1}

Thus:

P(X>1)=1e0.3679P(X > 1) = \frac{1}{e} \approx 0.3679


(b) P(1<X<2.5)P(1 < X < 2.5)

This is the probability that XX lies between 1 and 2.5:

P(1<X<2.5)=F(2.5)F(1)P(1 < X < 2.5) = F(2.5) - F(1)

Using the CDF formula F(x)=1exF(x) = 1 - e^{-x}:

F(2.5)=1e2.5,F(1)=1e1F(2.5) = 1 - e^{-2.5}, \quad F(1) = 1 - e^{-1}

Thus:

P(1<X<2.5)=(1e2.5)(1e1)=e1e2.5P(1 < X < 2.5) = (1 - e^{-2.5}) - (1 - e^{-1}) = e^{-1} - e^{-2.5}

So,

P(1<X<2.5)0.36790.0821=0.2858P(1 < X < 2.5) \approx 0.3679 - 0.0821 = 0.2858


(c) P(X=3)P(X = 3)

For a continuous random variable, the probability that XX takes any specific value is zero:

P(X=3)=0P(X = 3) = 0


(d) P(X<4)P(X < 4)

We calculate this directly using the CDF:

P(X<4)=F(4)=1e4P(X < 4) = F(4) = 1 - e^{-4}

Thus:

P(X<4)=11e410.0183=0.9817P(X < 4) = 1 - \frac{1}{e^4} \approx 1 - 0.0183 = 0.9817


(e) Find a>0a > 0 such that P(Xa)=0.10P(X \geq a) = 0.10

This is equivalent to solving:

P(Xa)=1P(X<a)=1F(a)=0.10P(X \geq a) = 1 - P(X < a) = 1 - F(a) = 0.10

So,

F(a)=0.901ea=0.90F(a) = 0.90 \quad \Rightarrow \quad 1 - e^{-a} = 0.90

Solving for aa:

ea=0.10a=ln(0.10)a=ln(0.10)e^{-a} = 0.10 \quad \Rightarrow \quad -a = \ln(0.10) \quad \Rightarrow \quad a = -\ln(0.10)

Thus:

a=ln(10)2.3026a = \ln(10) \approx 2.3026


Summary:

(a) P(X>1)0.3679P(X > 1) \approx 0.3679

(b) P(1<X<2.5)0.2858P(1 < X < 2.5) \approx 0.2858

(c) P(X=3)=0P(X = 3) = 0

(d) P(X<4)0.9817P(X < 4) \approx 0.9817

(e) a2.3026a \approx 2.3026


Would you like any further details or clarifications? Here are some related questions you might find interesting:

  1. How would the results change if λ\lambda were not 1?
  2. How do you find the mean and variance of an exponential distribution?
  3. What is the relationship between the exponential distribution and the Poisson process?
  4. How do you compute the moment generating function for an exponential distribution?
  5. Can you derive the memoryless property of the exponential distribution?

Tip: The exponential distribution is known for its memoryless property, meaning the future probability does not depend on the past.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Exponential Distribution
Probability Density Function (PDF)
Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)

Formulas

PDF: f(x) = λe^{-λx}
CDF: F(x) = 1 - e^{-x}
P(X > x) = 1 - F(x)
P(1 < X < 2.5) = F(2.5) - F(1)
P(X = 3) = 0 (since X is continuous)
Solving for a: F(a) = 0.90 implies a = ln(10)

Theorems

Exponential Distribution Theorem
Properties of Continuous Random Variables (P(X = c) = 0)

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate level (Introductory Probability/Statistics)