Math Problem Statement

what is the probability an exponentially distributed random variable with mean of 6, exceeding 5 in random value?

Solution

We are given that the random variable XX follows an exponential distribution with a mean of 6. For an exponential distribution, the probability density function (PDF) is given by:

f(x)=1λexλ,x0f(x) = \frac{1}{\lambda} e^{-\frac{x}{\lambda}}, \quad x \geq 0

where λ\lambda is the mean of the distribution. In this case, λ=6\lambda = 6.

The probability that the random variable exceeds 5 is represented as P(X>5)P(X > 5). Using the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of the exponential distribution:

P(X>x)=1F(x)=exλP(X > x) = 1 - F(x) = e^{-\frac{x}{\lambda}}

Substituting x=5x = 5 and λ=6\lambda = 6:

P(X>5)=e56P(X > 5) = e^{-\frac{5}{6}}

Now, let's compute that:

P(X>5)=e56e0.83330.435P(X > 5) = e^{-\frac{5}{6}} \approx e^{-0.8333} \approx 0.435

So, the probability that the exponentially distributed random variable exceeds 5 is approximately 0.435 or 43.5%.


Would you like further details on the exponential distribution?

Here are 5 related questions for further exploration:

  1. How do you derive the cumulative distribution function (CDF) for the exponential distribution?
  2. How would the probability change if the mean of the distribution were different (say 10)?
  3. What is the memoryless property of the exponential distribution and how does it affect probabilities?
  4. Can you derive the expected value and variance for an exponential distribution?
  5. How does the exponential distribution relate to other continuous distributions like the normal distribution?

Tip: The exponential distribution is memoryless, meaning that the probability of an event occurring after some time does not depend on how much time has already passed.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Exponential Distribution
Probability Theory
Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)
Probability Density Function (PDF)

Formulas

PDF of Exponential Distribution: f(x) = (1/λ) e^(-x/λ), x ≥ 0
CDF of Exponential Distribution: P(X > x) = e^(-x/λ)

Theorems

Exponential Distribution Theorem
Memoryless Property of Exponential Distribution

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 11-12