Math Problem Statement

Based on an analysis of sample data, an article proposed the pdf

f(x) = 0.35e−0.35(x − 1)

when

x ≥ 1

as a model for the distribution of

X = time (sec)

spent at the median line. (Round your answers to three decimal places.)

(a) What is the probability that waiting time is at most 6 sec? More than 6 sec?

at most 6 sec

P(X ≤ 6)

=

more than 6 sec

P(X > 6)

=

(b) What is the probability that waiting time is between 4 and 7 sec?

Solution

The given probability density function (pdf) is:

f(x)=0.35e0.35(x1),x1f(x) = 0.35 e^{-0.35(x - 1)}, \quad x \geq 1

This is an exponential distribution shifted by 1 second with a rate parameter λ=0.35\lambda = 0.35.

(a) Probability that waiting time is at most 6 sec, and more than 6 sec

To find the probability that X6X \leq 6, we need to calculate the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of the given pdf. The CDF for an exponential distribution with rate λ\lambda is given by:

F(x)=1eλ(x1)F(x) = 1 - e^{-\lambda (x - 1)}

where λ=0.35\lambda = 0.35 and x1x \geq 1.

At most 6 seconds:

P(X6)=F(6)=1e0.35(61)=1e0.35(5)P(X \leq 6) = F(6) = 1 - e^{-0.35(6 - 1)} = 1 - e^{-0.35(5)} P(X6)=1e1.75P(X \leq 6) = 1 - e^{-1.75} Using a calculator: P(X6)=10.17377=0.82623P(X \leq 6) = 1 - 0.17377 = 0.82623 So, P(X6)0.826P(X \leq 6) \approx 0.826

More than 6 seconds:

P(X>6)=1P(X6)=10.82623P(X > 6) = 1 - P(X \leq 6) = 1 - 0.82623 P(X>6)=0.17377P(X > 6) = 0.17377 Thus, P(X>6)0.174P(X > 6) \approx 0.174

(b) Probability that waiting time is between 4 and 7 sec

To find the probability that XX is between 4 and 7 seconds, we calculate the difference between the CDF values at 7 and 4.

P(4X7)=F(7)F(4)P(4 \leq X \leq 7) = F(7) - F(4)

First, calculate F(7)F(7): F(7)=1e0.35(71)=1e0.35(6)=1e2.1F(7) = 1 - e^{-0.35(7 - 1)} = 1 - e^{-0.35(6)} = 1 - e^{-2.1} Using a calculator: F(7)=10.12246=0.87754F(7) = 1 - 0.12246 = 0.87754

Now, calculate F(4)F(4): F(4)=1e0.35(41)=1e0.35(3)=1e1.05F(4) = 1 - e^{-0.35(4 - 1)} = 1 - e^{-0.35(3)} = 1 - e^{-1.05} Using a calculator: F(4)=10.34994=0.65006F(4) = 1 - 0.34994 = 0.65006

Finally, subtract: P(4X7)=0.877540.65006=0.22748P(4 \leq X \leq 7) = 0.87754 - 0.65006 = 0.22748 Thus, P(4X7)0.227P(4 \leq X \leq 7) \approx 0.227

Final Answers:

  • P(X6)0.826P(X \leq 6) \approx 0.826
  • P(X>6)0.174P(X > 6) \approx 0.174
  • P(4X7)0.227P(4 \leq X \leq 7) \approx 0.227

Would you like more details or have any questions?

Here are 5 related questions to expand this topic:

  1. What is the mean waiting time for this distribution?
  2. How do you calculate the median of an exponential distribution?
  3. What is the standard deviation of this distribution?
  4. What is the probability that waiting time exceeds 10 seconds?
  5. How would the distribution change if the rate parameter were doubled?

Tip: For exponential distributions, the rate parameter λ\lambda is the inverse of the mean waiting time.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Exponential Distribution
Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)

Formulas

PDF of the exponential distribution: f(x) = λe^{-λ(x - 1)}, x ≥ 1
CDF of exponential distribution: F(x) = 1 - e^{-λ(x - 1)}
P(a ≤ X ≤ b) = F(b) - F(a)

Theorems

Exponential Distribution Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate