Math Problem Statement

The annual consumption of beef per person was about 65.8 lb in 2000 and about 60.5 lb in 2006. Assume​ B(t), the annual beef consumption t years after​ 2000, is decreasing according to the exponential decay model. ​a) Find the value of​ k, and write the equation. ​b) Estimate the consumption of beef in 2011. ​c) In what year​ (theoretically) will the consumption of beef be 20 ​lb? Question content area bottom Part 1 ​a) Select the correct answer below and fill in the answer box to complete your choice. ​(Round to four decimal places as​ needed.) A.Upper B left parenthesis t right parenthesis equals StartFraction 60.5 Over e Superscript negative left parenthesis nothing right parenthesis t EndFraction Upper B left parenthesis t right parenthesis equals StartFraction 60.5 Over e Superscript negative left parenthesis nothing right parenthesis t EndFraction    B.Upper B left parenthesis t right parenthesis equals 65.8 e Superscript negative left parenthesis nothing right parenthesis t Upper B left parenthesis t right parenthesis equals 65.8 e Superscript negative left parenthesis nothing right parenthesis t    C.Upper B left parenthesis t right parenthesis equals 60.5 e Superscript negative left parenthesis nothing right parenthesis t Upper B left parenthesis t right parenthesis equals 60.5 e Superscript negative left parenthesis nothing right parenthesis t    D.Upper B left parenthesis t right parenthesis equals StartFraction 65.8 Over 60.5 e Superscript negative left parenthesis nothing right parenthesis t EndFraction Upper B left parenthesis t right parenthesis equals StartFraction 65.8 Over 60.5 e Superscript negative left parenthesis nothing right parenthesis t EndFraction

Solution

We are given that beef consumption is modeled by exponential decay, meaning the form of the equation will be:

B(t)=B0ektB(t) = B_0 e^{-kt} where:

  • B(t)B(t) is the beef consumption after tt years since 2000,
  • B0B_0 is the initial consumption (in the year 2000),
  • kk is the decay constant,
  • tt is the time in years since 2000.

Part (a): Find the value of kk and write the equation

We are given:

  • B(0)=65.8B(0) = 65.8 lb in the year 2000,
  • B(6)=60.5B(6) = 60.5 lb in the year 2006 (which is 6 years after 2000).

To find kk, we use the fact that B(6)=60.5B(6) = 60.5. Plug this into the exponential decay formula:

B(6)=B0e6k=65.8e6kB(6) = B_0 e^{-6k} = 65.8 e^{-6k}

Substitute B(6)=60.5B(6) = 60.5:

60.5=65.8e6k60.5 = 65.8 e^{-6k}

Now, solve for kk:

  1. Divide both sides by 65.8:

60.565.8=e6k\frac{60.5}{65.8} = e^{-6k}

  1. Take the natural logarithm (ln) of both sides:

ln(60.565.8)=6k\ln\left(\frac{60.5}{65.8}\right) = -6k

  1. Solve for kk:

k=16ln(60.565.8)k = -\frac{1}{6} \ln\left(\frac{60.5}{65.8}\right)

Now, calculate kk.

Let me compute that for you.The value of kk is approximately 0.01400.0140 (rounded to four decimal places).

Thus, the equation for the beef consumption is:

B(t)=65.8e0.0140tB(t) = 65.8 e^{-0.0140t}

Part (b): Estimate the consumption of beef in 2011

To estimate the beef consumption in 2011, which is t=11t = 11 years after 2000, we substitute t=11t = 11 into the equation:

B(11)=65.8e0.0140×11B(11) = 65.8 e^{-0.0140 \times 11}

Let me calculate that for you.The estimated beef consumption in 2011 is approximately 56.41 pounds per person.

Part (c): In what year will the consumption of beef be 20 pounds?

We need to solve for tt when B(t)=20B(t) = 20. Using the equation B(t)=65.8e0.0140tB(t) = 65.8 e^{-0.0140t}, we set B(t)=20B(t) = 20:

20=65.8e0.0140t20 = 65.8 e^{-0.0140t}

Solving for tt:

  1. Divide both sides by 65.8:

2065.8=e0.0140t\frac{20}{65.8} = e^{-0.0140t}

  1. Take the natural logarithm (ln) of both sides:

ln(2065.8)=0.0140t\ln\left(\frac{20}{65.8}\right) = -0.0140t

  1. Solve for tt:

t=10.0140ln(2065.8)t = -\frac{1}{0.0140} \ln\left(\frac{20}{65.8}\right)

Let me compute that for you.The beef consumption is projected to reach 20 pounds per person approximately 85 years after 2000. This corresponds to the year:

2000+85=20852000 + 85 = 2085

Thus, the consumption of beef is estimated to be 20 pounds in the year 2085.

Summary:

  • a) The value of kk is approximately 0.01400.0140, and the equation is B(t)=65.8e0.0140tB(t) = 65.8 e^{-0.0140t}.
  • b) The estimated beef consumption in 2011 is about 56.41 pounds per person.
  • c) The consumption is projected to reach 20 pounds in the year 2085.

Would you like more details on any part of this solution? Here are some related questions for practice:

  1. What would the beef consumption be in 2025 according to this model?
  2. How does the consumption change between 2010 and 2020?
  3. What would happen if the decay rate were faster, say k=0.02k = 0.02?
  4. How long would it take for consumption to drop to 10 pounds per person?
  5. What is the half-life of beef consumption under this model?

Tip: Exponential decay models are often used in various fields like population studies, radioactive decay, and economics to model diminishing quantities.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Exponential Decay
Natural Logarithm

Formulas

Exponential decay formula: B(t) = B_0 * e^(-kt)
ln(B(t)/B_0) = -kt

Theorems

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Suitable Grade Level

Grades 9-12