Math Problem Statement

Solve

An experiment yielded n = 16 temperature measurements with a known standard deviation of σ = 7.23. Calculate the following: (a) The 99% two-sided confidence interval for the mean temperature. (b) The 95% confidence single-sided lower-bound on the mean. (c) The sample size needed for a 95% confidence level to ensure the estimated mean error E = |x̄ − μ| < 1.

Solution

Let's go through each part of this problem step-by-step.

Given Information:

  • Sample size (nn) = 16
  • Population standard deviation (σ\sigma) = 7.23
  • Data values (temperatures in Celsius) are provided.
  1. Calculate the Sample Mean (xˉ\bar{x}): The sample mean is the average of the provided data points: xˉ=xn\bar{x} = \frac{\sum x}{n}

    Data points: 67,69.1,68.4,69.3,75.2,85.8,76.8,80.8,82.8,71.3,89.1,77.2,85.8,78.5,74.7,86.967, 69.1, 68.4, 69.3, 75.2, 85.8, 76.8, 80.8, 82.8, 71.3, 89.1, 77.2, 85.8, 78.5, 74.7, 86.9

  2. Standard Error of the Mean (SEM): The SEM is calculated as: SEM=σn\text{SEM} = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}

  3. Solution Steps for Each Part:

    (a) 99% Confidence Interval for the Mean Temperature:

    • For a 99% confidence interval, use the zz-score corresponding to 99% confidence, which is approximately z=2.576z = 2.576.
    • The confidence interval formula is: xˉ±zSEM\bar{x} \pm z \cdot \text{SEM}

    (b) 95% Confidence Single-Sided Lower-Bound on the Mean:

    • For a one-sided 95% confidence interval, use the zz-score corresponding to 95% confidence, which is z=1.645z = 1.645.
    • The lower bound is: xˉzSEM\bar{x} - z \cdot \text{SEM}

    (c) Sample Size for Mean Error E<1E < 1 with 95% Confidence:

    • Given E=1E = 1, we solve for nn using: E=zσnE = z \cdot \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} Rearranging to solve for nn: n=(zσE)2n = \left( \frac{z \cdot \sigma}{E} \right)^2 Use z=1.96z = 1.96 for a 95% confidence level.

I'll calculate each part and provide the answers next.Here are the solutions to each part:

  1. (a) 99% Confidence Interval for the Mean Temperature: 72.76μ82.0772.76 \leq \mu \leq 82.07

  2. (b) 95% Confidence Single-Sided Lower-Bound on the Mean: μ74.45\mu \geq 74.45

  3. (c) Sample Size for Mean Error E<1E < 1 with 95% Confidence: n=201n = 201

Let me know if you need further details or have any questions. Here are some related questions you might find useful:

  1. What would the confidence intervals be if the standard deviation were unknown?
  2. How does changing the sample size affect the confidence interval width?
  3. Why do we use the zz-score in this problem instead of the tt-score?
  4. What does a one-sided confidence interval imply in practical terms?
  5. How would the calculations change if we wanted a 90% confidence level?

Tip: Increasing the sample size decreases the standard error, which narrows confidence intervals and provides more precise estimates of the population mean.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Confidence Intervals
Sampling Distributions
Standard Error

Formulas

Sample mean formula: x̄ = (Σx) / n
Standard Error formula: SEM = σ / √n
Confidence Interval formula: x̄ ± z * SEM
Lower-bound formula: x̄ - z * SEM
Sample size formula for error margin E: n = (z * σ / E)^2

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate level