Math Problem Statement

You must estimate the mean temperature (in degrees Fahrenheit) with the following sample temperatures: 16.8 17 20 58.2 50.5 28.4 34.4 48.1 19.4 39.4 25 13.2

Find the 90% confidence interval. Enter your answer as an open-interval (i.e., parentheses) accurate to two decimal places.

90% C.I. =

Solution

To calculate the 90% confidence interval for the mean temperature, we can follow these steps:

  1. Find the Sample Mean (xˉ\bar{x}): xˉ=xn\bar{x} = \frac{\sum x}{n}

  2. Calculate the Sample Standard Deviation (ss): s=(xxˉ)2n1s = \sqrt{\frac{\sum (x - \bar{x})^2}{n - 1}}

  3. Determine the Margin of Error (ME): For a 90% confidence interval with n=12n = 12 (small sample), we use the tt-distribution with n1=11n - 1 = 11 degrees of freedom. The tt-value for a 90% confidence level is approximately t0.05,11=1.796t_{0.05, 11} = 1.796.

    ME=t×sn\text{ME} = t \times \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}}

  4. Construct the Confidence Interval: The confidence interval is given by: (xˉME,xˉ+ME)\left( \bar{x} - \text{ME}, \bar{x} + \text{ME} \right)

Let's calculate each of these values.The sample mean temperature is approximately 30.8730.87^\circF, with a sample standard deviation of 15.1015.10^\circF.

The 90% confidence interval for the mean temperature is: (23.04,38.69)(23.04, 38.69)

90% C.I. = (23.04,38.69)(23.04, 38.69)

Would you like further details on the calculation?

Here are five related questions that may help deepen your understanding:

  1. How would the confidence interval change with a 95% confidence level?
  2. What impact would a larger sample size have on this confidence interval?
  3. How do you interpret the margin of error in a confidence interval?
  4. Can you use this confidence interval to make predictions about future temperatures?
  5. Why do we use the tt-distribution for small sample sizes instead of the zz-distribution?

Tip: Increasing the confidence level (e.g., from 90% to 95%) will widen the confidence interval.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Confidence Interval
Sample Mean
Sample Standard Deviation

Formulas

Sample Mean: \( \bar{x} = \frac{\sum x}{n} \)
Sample Standard Deviation: \( s = \sqrt{\frac{\sum (x - \bar{x})^2}{n - 1}} \)
Margin of Error: \( ME = t \times \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} \)
Confidence Interval: \( (\bar{x} - ME, \bar{x} + ME) \)

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem
T-Distribution for Small Samples

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 11-12, College Level