Math Problem Statement

Q2 [4pts] Let A, B be two events. Assume P (A) = 0.3, P (B) = 0.4 and P (A ∪ B) = 0.6. • (1pts) Find P (A ∩ B). • (1pts) Find P (A|B). • (1pts) Find P (A|Bc). Here Bc is the complement event of B. • (1pts) Are A and B independent? Why?

Solution

Given:

  • P(A)=0.3P(A) = 0.3
  • P(B)=0.4P(B) = 0.4
  • P(AB)=0.6P(A \cup B) = 0.6

1. Find P(AB)P(A \cap B):

We use the formula for the union of two events: P(AB)=P(A)+P(B)P(AB)P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B) Substituting the given values: 0.6=0.3+0.4P(AB)0.6 = 0.3 + 0.4 - P(A \cap B) Solving for P(AB)P(A \cap B): P(AB)=0.3+0.40.6=0.1P(A \cap B) = 0.3 + 0.4 - 0.6 = 0.1

Thus, P(AB)=0.1P(A \cap B) = 0.1.

2. Find P(AB)P(A|B):

The conditional probability of AA given BB is given by: P(AB)=P(AB)P(B)P(A|B) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(B)} Substituting the known values: P(AB)=0.10.4=0.25P(A|B) = \frac{0.1}{0.4} = 0.25

Thus, P(AB)=0.25P(A|B) = 0.25.

3. Find P(ABc)P(A|B^c):

Here, BcB^c represents the complement of BB. The conditional probability of AA given BcB^c is: P(ABc)=P(ABc)P(Bc)P(A|B^c) = \frac{P(A \cap B^c)}{P(B^c)} We know: P(Bc)=1P(B)=10.4=0.6P(B^c) = 1 - P(B) = 1 - 0.4 = 0.6 To find P(ABc)P(A \cap B^c), we use: P(A)=P(AB)+P(ABc)P(A) = P(A \cap B) + P(A \cap B^c) Thus: 0.3=0.1+P(ABc)0.3 = 0.1 + P(A \cap B^c) Solving for P(ABc)P(A \cap B^c): P(ABc)=0.30.1=0.2P(A \cap B^c) = 0.3 - 0.1 = 0.2 Now, calculate P(ABc)P(A|B^c): P(ABc)=0.20.6=130.3333P(A|B^c) = \frac{0.2}{0.6} = \frac{1}{3} \approx 0.3333

Thus, P(ABc)0.3333P(A|B^c) \approx 0.3333.

4. Are A and B independent?

Two events AA and BB are independent if: P(AB)=P(A)×P(B)P(A \cap B) = P(A) \times P(B) We already know P(AB)=0.1P(A \cap B) = 0.1, P(A)=0.3P(A) = 0.3, and P(B)=0.4P(B) = 0.4. Now check: P(A)×P(B)=0.3×0.4=0.12P(A) \times P(B) = 0.3 \times 0.4 = 0.12 Since P(AB)=0.10.12P(A \cap B) = 0.1 \neq 0.12, the events AA and BB are not independent.

Summary of Results:

  1. P(AB)=0.1P(A \cap B) = 0.1
  2. P(AB)=0.25P(A|B) = 0.25
  3. P(ABc)0.3333P(A|B^c) \approx 0.3333
  4. A and B are not independent because P(AB)P(A)×P(B)P(A \cap B) \neq P(A) \times P(B).

Would you like further details or clarifications on any part? Here's a list of related questions:

  1. How do you compute the probability of the union of two events?
  2. What is the general formula for conditional probability?
  3. How do you calculate the complement of an event and its probability?
  4. Why is it important to test for independence in probability theory?
  5. How would you approach a problem if the events were independent?

Tip: When working with conditional probabilities, always remember the definition and how it relates to the joint and marginal probabilities!

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Conditional Probability
Set Theory

Formulas

P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A ∩ B)
P(A|B) = P(A ∩ B) / P(B)
P(A|Bc) = P(A ∩ Bc) / P(Bc)
P(Bc) = 1 - P(B)

Theorems

Addition Rule of Probability
Conditional Probability
Independence of Events

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12