Math Problem Statement

Calculate P(1/4 < X < 1/2 | Y = 3/4) given the conditional PDF f_X|Y(x|y) = 3(x^2 + y^2) / (3y^2 + 1) for 0 < x < 1, 0 < y < 1.

Solution

To solve the given conditional probability problem, we need to calculate P(1/4<X<1/2Y=3/4)P(1/4 < X < 1/2 | Y = 3/4). The conditional probability density function is given as:

fXY(xy)=3(x2+y2)3y2+1,0<x<1,0<y<1.f_{X|Y}(x|y) = \frac{3(x^2 + y^2)}{3y^2 + 1}, \quad 0 < x < 1, \, 0 < y < 1.

Given Y=3/4Y = 3/4, substitute y=3/4y = 3/4 into fXY(xy)f_{X|Y}(x|y):

fXY(x3/4)=3(x2+(3/4)2)3(3/4)2+1.f_{X|Y}(x|3/4) = \frac{3(x^2 + (3/4)^2)}{3(3/4)^2 + 1}.

First, calculate the denominator: 3(3/4)2+1=3916+1=2716+1616=4316.3(3/4)^2 + 1 = 3 \cdot \frac{9}{16} + 1 = \frac{27}{16} + \frac{16}{16} = \frac{43}{16}.

Thus: fXY(x3/4)=3(x2+9/16)43/16=48(x2+9/16)43.f_{X|Y}(x|3/4) = \frac{3(x^2 + 9/16)}{43/16} = \frac{48(x^2 + 9/16)}{43}.

Now, compute the probability P(1/4<X<1/2Y=3/4)P(1/4 < X < 1/2 | Y = 3/4) by integrating fXY(x3/4)f_{X|Y}(x|3/4) over xx from 1/41/4 to 1/21/2: P(1/4<X<1/2Y=3/4)=1/41/2fXY(x3/4)dx.P(1/4 < X < 1/2 | Y = 3/4) = \int_{1/4}^{1/2} f_{X|Y}(x|3/4) \, dx.

Substitute fXY(x3/4)f_{X|Y}(x|3/4) into the integral: P(1/4<X<1/2Y=3/4)=1/41/248(x2+9/16)43dx.P(1/4 < X < 1/2 | Y = 3/4) = \int_{1/4}^{1/2} \frac{48(x^2 + 9/16)}{43} \, dx.

Simplify the integral: P(1/4<X<1/2Y=3/4)=48431/41/2(x2+9/16)dx.P(1/4 < X < 1/2 | Y = 3/4) = \frac{48}{43} \int_{1/4}^{1/2} (x^2 + 9/16) \, dx.

Break it into two parts: P(1/4<X<1/2Y=3/4)=4843[1/41/2x2dx+1/41/2916dx].P(1/4 < X < 1/2 | Y = 3/4) = \frac{48}{43} \left[ \int_{1/4}^{1/2} x^2 \, dx + \int_{1/4}^{1/2} \frac{9}{16} \, dx \right].

  1. Compute 1/41/2x2dx\int_{1/4}^{1/2} x^2 \, dx: x2dx=x33.\int x^2 \, dx = \frac{x^3}{3}. Evaluate from 1/41/4 to 1/21/2: [x33]1/41/2=(1/2)33(1/4)33=1/241/192=81921192=7192.\left[ \frac{x^3}{3} \right]_{1/4}^{1/2} = \frac{(1/2)^3}{3} - \frac{(1/4)^3}{3} = \frac{1/24} - \frac{1/192} = \frac{8}{192} - \frac{1}{192} = \frac{7}{192}.

  2. Compute 1/41/2916dx\int_{1/4}^{1/2} \frac{9}{16} \, dx: 916dx=916x.\int \frac{9}{16} \, dx = \frac{9}{16} x. Evaluate from 1/41/4 to 1/21/2: [916x]1/41/2=9161291614=932964=1864964=964.\left[ \frac{9}{16} x \right]_{1/4}^{1/2} = \frac{9}{16} \cdot \frac{1}{2} - \frac{9}{16} \cdot \frac{1}{4} = \frac{9}{32} - \frac{9}{64} = \frac{18}{64} - \frac{9}{64} = \frac{9}{64}.

Combine the results: P(1/4<X<1/2Y=3/4)=4843(7192+964).P(1/4 < X < 1/2 | Y = 3/4) = \frac{48}{43} \left( \frac{7}{192} + \frac{9}{64} \right).

Simplify the terms inside the parentheses: 7192+964=7192+27192=34192=1796.\frac{7}{192} + \frac{9}{64} = \frac{7}{192} + \frac{27}{192} = \frac{34}{192} = \frac{17}{96}.

Thus: P(1/4<X<1/2Y=3/4)=48431796=8164128=1786.P(1/4 < X < 1/2 | Y = 3/4) = \frac{48}{43} \cdot \frac{17}{96} = \frac{816}{4128} = \frac{17}{86}.

The final probability is: P(1/4<X<1/2Y=3/4)=1786.P(1/4 < X < 1/2 | Y = 3/4) = \frac{17}{86}.

Let me know if you need further clarification or any additional details! Here are 5 questions to expand on this:

  1. What is a conditional probability density function and how does it differ from a joint PDF?
  2. How do you verify whether a given PDF is valid?
  3. Can you explain how integration applies to finding probabilities in continuous random variables?
  4. What are the properties of fXY(xy)f_{X|Y}(x|y) in terms of its limits and normality conditions?
  5. How would the calculation change if the bounds of XX or YY were modified?

Tip: Always double-check the bounds and normalization when solving probability density functions to ensure accurate results.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Conditional Probability
Probability Density Function (PDF)
Integration

Formulas

f_X|Y(x|y) = 3(x^2 + y^2) / (3y^2 + 1)
P(A|B) = ∫ f_X|Y(x|y) dx over the specified range
Integral of x^n = x^(n+1)/(n+1)

Theorems

Law of Total Probability
Integration in Probability

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate Level