Math Problem Statement
Consider an estimator T(X), X= {X1,...,Xn}, for a parameter µ. From considering the continuous distribution of T(X), it is given that, P(3T(X) + µ>8) = 0.025 and P(−3T(X)−µ<−2) = 0.975. Calculate a 95% confidence interval for µ, given that you observe the esti- mate t(x) = 2.
Solution
We are given an estimator for a parameter and two probability statements:
We need to determine the 95% confidence interval (CI) for given that .
Step 1: Express in Terms of Probability Quantiles
From the given probability statements:
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The first equation can be rewritten as:
This suggests that the upper 2.5% quantile corresponds to .
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The second equation can be rewritten as:
This suggests that the lower 2.5% quantile corresponds to .
Thus, the 95% confidence interval is given by:
Step 2: Substitute
Since we observe , we substitute:
Step 3: Interpret and Correct the Interval
Since the usual notation for confidence intervals has the lower bound on the left, we rewrite:
Thus, the 95% confidence interval for is:
Would you like a detailed explanation of any step?
Related Questions:
- How do confidence intervals relate to hypothesis testing?
- What is the role of quantiles in confidence interval construction?
- How can we interpret confidence intervals in real-world scenarios?
- What are the assumptions behind this confidence interval calculation?
- How would this change if had a known variance?
Tip: Confidence intervals do not guarantee that the true parameter lies within them for every sample—rather, 95% of similarly constructed intervals will contain the true parameter.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Estimation
Probability
Confidence Intervals
Quantiles
Continuous Distribution
Formulas
P(a < T(X) + µ < b) = 0.95
Confidence interval formula
P(3T(X) + µ > 8) = 0.025
P(-3T(X) - µ < -2) = 0.975
Theorems
Central Limit Theorem (implicitly referenced)
Probability distribution properties
Suitable Grade Level
Undergraduate (Statistics)
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