Math Problem Statement
A restaurant is planning to open in town. The owners estimate that there is a 50% probability that the restaurant will make $50,000, a 15% probability that it will break even, and a 35% probability that it will lose $28,000. Find the expected profit.
The restaurant will lose $10,200.
The restaurant will profit $10,200.
The restaurant will lose $15,200.
The restaurant will profit $15,200.
Solution
To find the expected profit for the restaurant, we use the expected value formula:
Given the probabilities and outcomes:
- A 50% (or 0.50 probability) chance of making $50,000.
- A 15% (or 0.15 probability) chance of breaking even, which means a profit of $0.
- A 35% (or 0.35 probability) chance of losing $28,000.
Now, calculate the expected profit:
Thus, the expected profit is $15,200.
The correct answer is that the restaurant will profit $15,200.
Would you like more details or have any questions? Here are some related questions:
- How does the expected profit help in making business decisions?
- What would be the impact on the expected profit if the loss probability increased?
- How does risk affect the decision to open a new business?
- Can expected value be used to compare different investment opportunities?
- What other factors should be considered along with expected value in decision-making?
Tip: When assessing expected profit, it's important to also evaluate potential risks and their impacts on the overall financial health of a business.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Probability
Expected Value
Formulas
Expected value formula E(X) = Σ (probability of outcome × value of outcome)
Theorems
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Suitable Grade Level
Grades 10-12