Math Problem Statement

Calculate the covariance \(\text{cov}(X, Y)\) given the joint probability density function of discrete random variables X and Y, represented in a table.

Solution

To solve for the covariance cov(X,Y)\text{cov}(X, Y) of the discrete random variables XX and YY, we need to follow these steps:

  1. Covariance Formula: [ \text{cov}(X, Y) = E[XY] - E[X]E[Y] ] where E[XY]E[XY] is the expected value of the product of XX and YY, and E[X]E[X] and E[Y]E[Y] are the expected values of XX and YY, respectively.

  2. Expected Value of XX and YY: [ E[X] = \sum_{x} x \cdot P(X = x), \quad E[Y] = \sum_{y} y \cdot P(Y = y) ] To find these, we need to sum over the marginal probabilities of XX and YY.

  3. Expected Value of the Product E[XY]E[XY]: E[XY]=xyxyP(X=x,Y=y)E[XY] = \sum_{x} \sum_{y} x \cdot y \cdot P(X = x, Y = y)

Let's compute this step by step using the given joint probability table:

Step 1: Marginal Probabilities

Marginal Probability P(X=x)P(X = x)

  • P(X=0)=0.1+0.2=0.3P(X = 0) = 0.1 + 0.2 = 0.3
  • P(X=1)=0.2+0.1=0.3P(X = 1) = 0.2 + 0.1 = 0.3
  • P(X=2)=0.3+0.1=0.4P(X = 2) = 0.3 + 0.1 = 0.4

Marginal Probability P(Y=y)P(Y = y)

  • P(Y=1)=0.1+0.2+0.3=0.6P(Y = -1) = 0.1 + 0.2 + 0.3 = 0.6
  • P(Y=2)=0.2+0.1+0.1=0.4P(Y = 2) = 0.2 + 0.1 + 0.1 = 0.4

Step 2: Expected Values

E[X]E[X]

E[X]=00.3+10.3+20.4=0.0+0.3+0.8=1.1E[X] = 0 \cdot 0.3 + 1 \cdot 0.3 + 2 \cdot 0.4 = 0.0 + 0.3 + 0.8 = 1.1

E[Y]E[Y]

E[Y]=(1)0.6+20.4=0.6+0.8=0.2E[Y] = (-1) \cdot 0.6 + 2 \cdot 0.4 = -0.6 + 0.8 = 0.2

Step 3: Compute E[XY]E[XY]

We multiply each XX and YY value by their joint probabilities: E[XY]=(0(1)0.1)+(020.2)+(1(1)0.2)+(120.1)+(2(1)0.3)+(220.1)E[XY] = (0 \cdot (-1) \cdot 0.1) + (0 \cdot 2 \cdot 0.2) + (1 \cdot (-1) \cdot 0.2) + (1 \cdot 2 \cdot 0.1) + (2 \cdot (-1) \cdot 0.3) + (2 \cdot 2 \cdot 0.1) E[XY]=0+0+(0.2)+0.2+(0.6)+0.4=0.2E[XY] = 0 + 0 + (-0.2) + 0.2 + (-0.6) + 0.4 = -0.2

Step 4: Compute cov(X,Y)\text{cov}(X, Y)

[ \text{cov}(X, Y) = E[XY] - E[X]E[Y] = -0.2 - (1.1)(0.2) = -0.2 - 0.22 = -0.42 ]

Thus, the covariance is cov(X,Y)=0.42\text{cov}(X, Y) = -0.42, corresponding to option a.

Would you like further details or clarification on any of the steps?

Related Questions:

  1. How do you calculate the variance of XX and YY from the joint probability distribution?
  2. What does the sign of the covariance tell us about the relationship between XX and YY?
  3. How can you use the covariance to find the correlation coefficient?
  4. What is the difference between marginal probability and conditional probability?
  5. How would the covariance change if the joint probability distribution were different?

Tip:

Always check that the joint probabilities sum to 1 when dealing with probability distributions to ensure consistency.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Covariance
Discrete Random Variables

Formulas

Covariance formula: \text{cov}(X, Y) = E[XY] - E[X]E[Y]
Expected value: E[X] = \sum x P(X = x), E[Y] = \sum y P(Y = y)
Expected value of the product: E[XY] = \sum_{x,y} x y P(X = x, Y = y)

Theorems

Covariance theorem for discrete random variables

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate