Math Problem Statement

For two events A and B, P (A cap B^ prime )= 1/5 P (A^ prime cap B)= 3/20 (A^ prime cap B^ prime )= 1/10. Find the value of P (A/B).

Solution

Given the probabilities for events AA and BB, we need to find P(AB)P(A \mid B), which represents the conditional probability of AA given BB.

Given:

  1. P(AB)=15P(A \cap B') = \frac{1}{5}
  2. P(AB)=320P(A' \cap B) = \frac{3}{20}
  3. P(AB)=110P(A' \cap B') = \frac{1}{10}

To Find:

  • P(AB)=P(AB)P(B)P(A \mid B) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(B)}

Step 1: Calculate P(B)P(B')

Using the total probability: P(B)=P(AB)+P(AB)P(B') = P(A \cap B') + P(A' \cap B') P(B)=15+110=210+110=310P(B') = \frac{1}{5} + \frac{1}{10} = \frac{2}{10} + \frac{1}{10} = \frac{3}{10}

Step 2: Calculate P(B)P(B)

Since P(B)=1P(B)P(B') = 1 - P(B), we have: P(B)=1P(B)=1310=710P(B) = 1 - P(B') = 1 - \frac{3}{10} = \frac{7}{10}

Step 3: Use Total Probability to find P(A)P(A)

The total probability P(A)P(A) can be found as: P(A)=P(AB)+P(AB)P(A) = P(A \cap B) + P(A \cap B') We already know P(AB)=15P(A \cap B') = \frac{1}{5}, and we need to express P(AB)P(A \cap B).

Step 4: Find P(A)P(A) using the complement

P(A)=P(AB)+P(AB)P(A') = P(A' \cap B) + P(A' \cap B') P(A)=320+110=320+220=520=14P(A') = \frac{3}{20} + \frac{1}{10} = \frac{3}{20} + \frac{2}{20} = \frac{5}{20} = \frac{1}{4} So: P(A)=1P(A)=114=34P(A) = 1 - P(A') = 1 - \frac{1}{4} = \frac{3}{4}

Step 5: Calculate P(AB)P(A \cap B)

Now, use the total probability for AA: P(A)=P(AB)+P(AB)P(A) = P(A \cap B) + P(A \cap B') 34=P(AB)+15\frac{3}{4} = P(A \cap B) + \frac{1}{5} P(AB)=3415=1520420=1120P(A \cap B) = \frac{3}{4} - \frac{1}{5} = \frac{15}{20} - \frac{4}{20} = \frac{11}{20}

Step 6: Find P(AB)P(A \mid B)

Now, find P(AB)P(A \mid B): P(AB)=P(AB)P(B)=1120710=1120×107=1114P(A \mid B) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(B)} = \frac{\frac{11}{20}}{\frac{7}{10}} = \frac{11}{20} \times \frac{10}{7} = \frac{11}{14}

So, P(AB)=1114P(A \mid B) = \frac{11}{14}.

Would you like more details or have any other questions?

Related Questions:

  1. How can you derive P(AB)P(A \mid B) from given joint and marginal probabilities?
  2. What is the significance of conditional probability in decision making?
  3. How can we verify the consistency of given probability values?
  4. What is the relationship between P(AB)P(A \mid B) and P(BA)P(B \mid A)?
  5. How do independent events affect the calculation of conditional probabilities?

Tip: When calculating conditional probabilities, make sure the probabilities used for the condition (like P(B)P(B)) are accurate and account for all possible scenarios.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability Theory
Conditional Probability
Total Probability Theorem

Formulas

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Theorems

Total Probability Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Advanced High School