Math Problem Statement

According to a recent DMV’s data, about 65% of the applicants can pass a driver’s proficiency road test. If you collect a random sample of 12 applicants, find the probability that exactly 7 applicants will pass.

Solution

This problem can be solved using the binomial probability formula, which is used when you have a fixed number of independent trials, each with two possible outcomes (success or failure). Here, passing the test is considered a "success."

The binomial probability formula is:

P(X=k)=(nk)pk(1p)nkP(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1 - p)^{n - k}

Where:

  • n=12n = 12 (the number of applicants),
  • k=7k = 7 (the number of applicants who pass),
  • p=0.65p = 0.65 (the probability that a single applicant passes),
  • (nk)=n!k!(nk)!\binom{n}{k} = \frac{n!}{k!(n-k)!} is the binomial coefficient.

Step-by-step solution:

  1. Set up the formula: P(X=7)=(127)(0.65)7(0.35)5P(X = 7) = \binom{12}{7} (0.65)^7 (0.35)^5

  2. Find the binomial coefficient (127)\binom{12}{7}: (127)=12!7!(127)!=12!7!5!=792\binom{12}{7} = \frac{12!}{7!(12-7)!} = \frac{12!}{7!5!} = 792

  3. Calculate the powers of the probabilities: (0.65)7=0.0493and(0.35)5=0.00525(0.65)^7 = 0.0493 \quad \text{and} \quad (0.35)^5 = 0.00525

  4. Multiply all the components together: P(X=7)=792×0.0493×0.00525=0.205P(X = 7) = 792 \times 0.0493 \times 0.00525 = 0.205

Thus, the probability that exactly 7 out of 12 applicants will pass the test is approximately 0.205, or 20.5%.


Would you like any further details or have any questions?

Here are some related questions:

  1. What is the probability that more than 7 applicants will pass?
  2. How would the probability change if the passing rate were 70% instead of 65%?
  3. What is the probability that fewer than 7 applicants will pass?
  4. How does the binomial distribution change with different sample sizes?
  5. What is the expected number of applicants to pass out of 12?

Tip: In binomial problems, if you're dealing with large sample sizes, you can use the normal approximation to the binomial for faster computations.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Binomial Distribution

Formulas

P(X = k) = C(n, k) * p^k * (1 - p)^(n - k)
Binomial coefficient: C(n, k) = n! / (k!(n - k)!)

Theorems

Binomial Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12